Acutus Medical (Acutus Medical) Predictability Rank

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What is Acutus Medical Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Acutus Medical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Acutus Medical (Acutus Medical) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Acutus Medical Inc (OTCPK:AFIB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2210 Faraday Avenue, Suite 100, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008

Website

https://www.acutusmedical.com

Acutus Medical Inc is an arrhythmia management company focused on improving the way cardiac arrhythmias are diagnosed and treated. The company designs, manufactures and markets a range of tools for catheter-based ablation procedures to treat various arrhythmias. Its product portfolio includes Novel access sheaths, Transseptal crossing tools, Diagnostic and mapping catheters, Ablation catheters, Mapping and imaging consoles and accessories, as well as Supporting algorithms and Software programs. It markets and sells its electrophysiology products worldwide to hospitals and electrophysiologists that treat patients with arrhythmias. It has a business presence in the United States and Europe.

Executives

Takeo Mukai	officer: Interim CFO	C/O ACUTUS MEDICAL, INC., 2210 FARADAY AVE., SUITE 100, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Jason K Garland	director	10000 WEHRLE DRIVE, CLARENCE NY 14031
Kevin Mathews	officer: SVP, Global Sales	C/O ACUTUS MEDICAL, INC., 2210 FARADAY AVE., SUITE 100, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Charlie Piscitello	officer: Chief People Officer	2210 FARADAY AVE #100, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Tom Sohn	officer: SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary	2210 FARADAY AVE #100, CARLSBAD CA 92008
R Scott Huennekens	director	C/O VOLCANO CORPORATION, 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 460, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
James F. Hinrichs	director	3750 TORREY VIEW COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Niamh Louise Pellegrini	director	C/O NEVRO CORP., 1800 BRIDGE PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Orbimed Rof Ii Llc	director, 10 percent owner	601 LEXINGTON AVE., 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
David P Bonita	director, 10 percent owner	C/O ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC, 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Orbimed Advisors Llc	director, 10 percent owner	601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
James E Flynn	director, 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization	780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Orbimed Capital Gp Iv Llc	director, 10 percent owner	601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
John F Sheridan	director	C/O TANDEM DIABETES CARE, INC., 11045 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David Roman	officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer	ACUTUS MEDICAL, INC., 2210 FARADAY AVE, SUITE 100, CARLSBAD CA 92008