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Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II (Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II) Predictability Rank


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What is Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II (Atlantic Coastal Acquisition II) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Atlantic Coastal Acquisition Corp II (NAS:ACAB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
BYTS ATAK PGSS IXAQ CPTK COOL DECA BYN TCOA APXI PBAJ SVMB SCRM CVII AAC GHIX ALCC AACT DWAC SAGA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6 St Johns Lane, Floor 5, New York, NY, USA, 10013
Website
https://www.atlanticcoastalacquisition.com
Atlantic Coastal Acquisition Corp II is a blank check company.
Executives
Curtis Collar director 6 ST JOHNS LANE, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10013
Dominick Schiano director 30275 OAKLEAF LANE, FRANKLIN MI 48025
Burt Jordan director, officer: President 4387 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, ORCHARD LAKE MI 48323
Jason Chryssicas director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 9 UPLAND LANE, ARMONK NY 10504
Shahraab Ahmad director, officer: Chaiman and CEO 49 CATHCART ROAD, LONDON X0 SW10 9JE
Joanna Lord director 215 6TH STREET SOUTH, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Anthony D. Eisenberg director, officer: Chief Strategy Officer 700 LONE PINE, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Bryan Dove director 6 ST JOHNS LANE, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10013
Iqbaljit Kahlon director 2144 GREEN STREET #12, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94123
Atlantic Coastal Acquisition Management Ii Llc 10 percent owner 6 ST JOHNS LANE, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10013
Darren Stanwood director P.O. BOX 861, GLOUCESTER MA 01931