FedEx (FRA:FDX) Peter Lynch Fair Value: €95.85 (As of Jun. 24, 2026) — 8235% Above Median


FRA:FDX FedEx Corp FRA:FDX
83 GF Score
Price €284.50
GF Value €186.37
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is FedEx Peter Lynch Fair Value?

FedEx FRA:FDX -1.25% 83 Peter Lynch Fair Value is €95.85 as of Jun. 24, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.15. GuruFocus rates FRA:FDX with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €186.37 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 321 Transportation companies, FedEx ranks worse than 311526.17% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, FedEx's PEG is 1. FedEx's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 5.55. FedEx's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2026 was €17.27. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is €95.85.

As of today (2026-06-24), FedEx's share price is €284.50. FedEx's Peter Lynch fair value is €95.85. Therefore, FedEx's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.97.


The historical rank and industry rank for FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of FedEx was 2.96. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 1.15.


FRA:FDX's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 0.92
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


FedEx  (FRA:FDX) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 5.55 instead of 15 in this case.

FedEx's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=284.50/95.85
=2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


FedEx Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


FedEx Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

FedEx Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 124.61 182.48 347.06 137.88

FedEx Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 222.74 137.88 101.69 82.07 0.00

FRA:FDX vs UPS, JBHT, FDXFw: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


FRA:FDX
83GF Score
FedEx Corp FRA:FDX
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

FedEx Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 5.55 *17.271
=95.85

FedEx's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was €17.27.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of €95.85 mean?
FedEx (FRA:FDX) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of €95.85 as of Jun. 24, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. This is 8235% above median its historical median of 1.15. Over the past decade, FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.51 to 2.96. According to the industry distribution chart, FedEx ranks #999999 out of 321 companies in the Transportation industry.
Is FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
FedEx's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of €95.85 is 8235% above median its 10-year median of 1.15. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 2.96. Based on the distribution chart, FedEx ranks #999999 out of 321 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, FedEx has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does FedEx's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to UPS and JBHT?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, FedEx ranks #999999 out of 321 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places FedEx in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.92. Historically, FedEx's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.51 to 2.96 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Transportation company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Transportation companies is 0.92, based on 321 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.92 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. FedEx's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €95.85, which is 8235% above median its own 10-year median of 1.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is FedEx stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx (FRA:FDX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €186.37, compared to a current price of €284.50 — trading 52.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €95.85, which is 8235% above median its 10-year median of 1.15. FedEx's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For FedEx (FRA:FDX), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €95.85 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is FedEx (FRA:FDX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €284.50 is trading 52.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €186.37. GuruFocus considers FedEx to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:FDX:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: €95.85 (8235% above median its 10-year median of 1.15)
  • GF Value™: €186.37 vs. price of €284.50 (52.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:FDX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


FedEx Business Description

Address 942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. Following the June 2026 spinoff of FedEx Freight (less-than-truckload shipping), the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—makes up more than 95% of total revenue (previously 87%). The remainder stems from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:FDX

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€284.50
Price
€186.37
GF Value