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CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $26.33 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Chipotle Mexican Grill's PEG is 1. Chipotle Mexican Grill's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Chipotle Mexican Grill's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024 was $1.05. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $26.33.

As of today (2024-10-31), Chipotle Mexican Grill's share price is $55.77. Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch fair value is $26.33. Therefore, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.12.


The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CMG' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 2.16   Max: 15.08
Current: 2.06


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 15.08. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 2.16.


CMG's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
66.28% of 86 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.3 vs CMG: 2.06

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.67 12.03 15.80 332.78

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 331.83 332.78 334.00 26.25 27.10

Competitive Comparison of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Chipotle Mexican Grill Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *1.053
=26.33

Chipotle Mexican Grill's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $1.05.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Chipotle Mexican Grill  (NYSE:CMG) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=55.77/26.33
=2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Business Description

Address
610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $9.9 billion in 2023. The Mexican concept is predominately company-owned, although it recently inked a development agreement with Alshaya Group in the Middle East. It had a footprint of nearly 3,440 stores at the end of 2023, heavily indexed to the United States, although it maintains a small presence in Canada, the UK, France, and Germany. Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
Executives
Robin S Hickenlooper director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Curtis E Garner officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O AEROHIVE NETWORKS, INC., 330 GIBRALTAR DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Jack Hartung officer: CFO & Chief Development Ofcr 1543 WAZEE STREET, SUITE 200, DENVER CO 80202
Roger E Theodoredis officer: Chief Legal Officer & GC 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Brian R Niccol director, officer: Chairman, CEO 1 GLEN BELL WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Albert S Baldocchi director 1601 HIGH STREET, BOULDER CO 80304
Scott Boatwright officer: Chief Restaurant Officer 1401 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80202
Christopher W Brandt officer: Chief Marketing Officer 2202 NORTH WESTSHORE BLVD, TAMPA FL 33607
Gregg L Engles director 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Laurie Schalow officer: Chief Corp Affairs, Food Sft 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1300, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Patricia Filikrushel director DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Laura Fuentes director 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Marissa Andrada officer: Chief D&I and People Officer C/O KATE SPADE & COMPANY 2 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Scott Harlan Maw director 1411 E. MISSION AVENUE, SPOKANE WA 99202