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GCB Bank (XGHA:GCB) Beneish M-Score : -4.38 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is GCB Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for GCB Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XGHA:GCB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.38   Med: -2.68   Max: -2.21
Current: -4.38

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of GCB Bank was -2.21. The lowest was -4.38. And the median was -2.68.


GCB Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of GCB Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9963+0.892 * 0.4838+0.115 * 1.2497
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.7074+4.679 * -0.195793-0.327 * 1.7707
=-4.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was GHS0 Mil.
Revenue was GHS1,174 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS1,174 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS0 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS21,494 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS154 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS205 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS804 Mil.
Net Income was GHS-593 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was GHS3,615 Mil.
Total Receivables was GHS0 Mil.
Revenue was GHS2,427 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS2,427 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS0 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS18,405 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS301 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS148 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS156 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS389 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 1174.144) / (0 / 2426.772)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2426.772 / 2426.772) / (1174.144 / 1174.144)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 429.654) / 21494.418) / (1 - (0 + 301.332) / 18404.927)
=0.980011 / 0.983628
=0.9963

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1174.144 / 2426.772
=0.4838

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148.464 / (148.464 + 301.332)) / (154.215 / (154.215 + 429.654))
=0.33007 / 0.264126
=1.2497

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(204.714 / 1174.144) / (156.282 / 2426.772)
=0.174352 / 0.064399
=2.7074

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((803.784 + 0) / 21494.418) / ((388.689 + 0) / 18404.927)
=0.037395 / 0.021119
=1.7707

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-593.398 - 0 - 3615.06) / 21494.418
=-0.195793

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

GCB Bank has a M-score of -4.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


GCB Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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GCB Bank (XGHA:GCB) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Thorpe Road, J.E.A. Mills High Street, P.O. Box 134, GCB Bank Building, Accra, GHA
GCB Bank Ltd operates as a commercial bank in Ghana. The group's operating segments are Retail banking; Corporate banking; Treasury; and Commercial banking. It derives key revenue from the Consumer segment. The bank offers various products and services including international money transfer, overdraft facilities, bulk cash collection, trade finance, payroll solutions, business advice, internet banking, and others. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Ghana.