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Mostostal Zabrze-Holding (WAR:MSZ) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:MSZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.16   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mostostal Zabrze-Holding was -1.95. The lowest was -4.16. And the median was -2.47.


Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -2.34 -2.38 -2.30 -2.85

Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.53 -2.40 -2.74 -2.85

Competitive Comparison of Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mostostal Zabrze-Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mostostal Zabrze-Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6524+0.528 * 0.8357+0.404 * 1.811+0.892 * 1.1528+0.115 * 0.9073
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0574+4.679 * -0.097309-0.327 * 0.8601
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł279 Mil.
Revenue was 230.547 + 365.935 + 407.314 + 347.624 = zł1,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was 52.251 + 37.762 + 35.41 + 29.719 = zł155 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł441 Mil.
Total Assets was zł710 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł92 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł17 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł64 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł356 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł19 Mil.
Net Income was 27.316 + 14.435 + 21.285 + 11.212 = zł74 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 38.703 + 53.207 + 22.472 + 28.931 = zł143 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł372 Mil.
Revenue was 316.501 + 348.977 + 276.233 + 230.549 = zł1,172 Mil.
Gross Profit was 35.81 + 26.939 + 27.769 + 21.948 = zł112 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł506 Mil.
Total Assets was zł678 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł79 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł13 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł52 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł402 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł15 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(279.409 / 1351.42) / (371.527 / 1172.26)
=0.206752 / 0.316932
=0.6524

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(112.466 / 1172.26) / (155.142 / 1351.42)
=0.095939 / 0.114799
=0.8357

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (441.311 + 92.028) / 709.749) / (1 - (506.199 + 78.854) / 678.126)
=0.248553 / 0.13725
=1.811

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1351.42 / 1172.26
=1.1528

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12.638 / (12.638 + 78.854)) / (16.527 / (16.527 + 92.028))
=0.138132 / 0.152245
=0.9073

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(63.502 / 1351.42) / (52.092 / 1172.26)
=0.046989 / 0.044437
=1.0574

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18.864 + 356.408) / 709.749) / ((14.736 + 402.15) / 678.126)
=0.528739 / 0.614762
=0.8601

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(74.248 - 0 - 143.313) / 709.749
=-0.097309

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mostostal Zabrze-Holding has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Mostostal Zabrze-Holding Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Mostostal Zabrze-Holding (WAR:MSZ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ul. Freedom 191, Zabrze, POL, 41-800
Mostostal Zabrze-Holding SA is a Poland based company engaged in the business activities of general contracting of industrial projects, including power and environmental protection facilities and installations as well as public utility and commercial buildings, and subcontracting of specialist works. The group offers a comprehensive range of works from design and engineering, civil works, earth- and roadworks, production, and erection of steel structure, delivery, and installation of piping to the installation of process equipment and mechanical plant.

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