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VSE (VSEC) Beneish M-Score : -2.18 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is VSE Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.18 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for VSE's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VSEC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.39   Max: 27.26
Current: -2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of VSE was 27.26. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.39.


VSE Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for VSE's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VSE Beneish M-Score Chart

VSE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.79 27.26 -2.81 -2.18

VSE Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.46 -2.53 -2.32 -2.18

Competitive Comparison of VSE's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, VSE's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VSE's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, VSE's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VSE's Beneish M-Score falls into.



VSE Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of VSE for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1079+0.528 * 0.7417+0.404 * 0.9321+0.892 * 1.2525+0.115 * 1.3357
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5966+4.679 * 0.045146-0.327 * 1.0232
=-2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $136.0 Mil.
Revenue was 235.325 + 231.353 + 205.223 + 255.433 = $927.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 26.817 + 27.82 + 22.156 + 20.031 = $96.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $774.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,350.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $86.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $23.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $286.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $431.8 Mil.
Net Income was 11.605 + 9.557 + 8.855 + 9.117 = $39.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 27.942 + 15.32 + -16.417 + -48.674 = $-21.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was $98.0 Mil.
Revenue was 171.988 + 167.379 + 169.761 + 231.239 = $740.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17.804 + 15.703 + 11.008 + 12.82 = $57.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $548.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $999.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $62.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $24.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $224.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $295.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(136.007 / 927.334) / (98.008 / 740.367)
=0.146665 / 0.132378
=1.1079

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(57.335 / 740.367) / (96.824 / 927.334)
=0.077441 / 0.104411
=0.7417

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (774.03 + 86.76) / 1350.338) / (1 - (548.878 + 62.059) / 999.789)
=0.362537 / 0.388934
=0.9321

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=927.334 / 740.367
=1.2525

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(24.602 / (24.602 + 62.059)) / (23.416 / (23.416 + 86.76))
=0.283888 / 0.212533
=1.3357

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.671 / 927.334) / (3.836 / 740.367)
=0.008272 / 0.005181
=1.5966

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((431.803 + 286.886) / 1350.338) / ((295.454 + 224.604) / 999.789)
=0.532229 / 0.520168
=1.0232

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(39.134 - 0 - -21.829) / 1350.338
=0.045146

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

VSE has a M-score of -2.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


VSE (VSEC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6348 Walker Lane, Alexandria, VA, USA, 22310
VSE Corp is a diversified aftermarket products and services company providing repair services, parts distribution, logistics, supply chain management and consulting services for land, sea and air transportation assets to commercial and government markets. Its operations include supply chain management solutions, parts supply and distribution, and maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) services for vehicle fleet, aviation, maritime and other customers. It also provide vehicle and equipment refurbishment, logistics, engineering support, data management and healthcare IT solutions, and clean energy consulting services. The company operating segments are Aviation, Fleet and Federal and Defense.
Executives
Edward P Dolanski director 5158 MOHAWK DRIVE, FRISCO TX 75034
John E Potter director 9009 FALLS CHAPEL WAY, POTOMAC MD 20854-2387
James F Lafond director 4401 GULF SHORE BLVD NORTH, UNIT 103, NAPLES FL 34103
Calvin Scott Koonce director 6229 EXECUTIVE BOULEVARD, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Bonnie K Wachtel director 1101 FOURTEENTH STREET NW, SUITE 800, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Ralph E Eberhart director 909 N. WASHINGTON STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Ferguson Iii Mark E director 1444 CLONCURRY ROAD, NORFOLK VA 23505
Anita D Britt director 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Lloyd Emerson Johnson director 16737 NEW PROVIDENCE LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Benjamin E. Thomas officer: President, VSE Aviation, Inc. 3361 ENTERPRISE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Stephen D. Griffin officer: Sr. VP and CFO 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
Farinaz S Tehrani officer: Chief Legal Officer 180 EAST BROAD STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Moore Robert Andrew Iii officer: President, Federal & Defense 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
John A Cuomo director, officer: CEO and President 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
Chad Wheeler officer: President, Wheeler Fleet 384 DRUM AVENUE, SOMERSET PA 15501