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Fortuna Silver Mines (TSX:FVI) Beneish M-Score : -2.99 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Fortuna Silver Mines Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:FVI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.7   Med: -2.39   Max: 2.58
Current: -2.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Fortuna Silver Mines was 2.58. The lowest was -3.70. And the median was -2.39.


Fortuna Silver Mines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fortuna Silver Mines Beneish M-Score Chart

Fortuna Silver Mines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.71 -1.95 -2.17 -3.04

Fortuna Silver Mines Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.52 -2.77 -3.04 -2.99

Competitive Comparison of Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortuna Silver Mines's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Fortuna Silver Mines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Fortuna Silver Mines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7617+0.528 * 0.7444+0.404 * 1.2798+0.892 * 1.3312+0.115 * 0.7723
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.856+4.679 * -0.12208-0.327 * 0.9688
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$110 Mil.
Revenue was 304.491 + 355.945 + 328.878 + 210.458 = C$1,200 Mil.
Gross Profit was 94.629 + 69.565 + 89.14 + 42.338 = C$296 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$422 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,636 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,121 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$304 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$91 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$333 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$220 Mil.
Net Income was 35.532 + -123.851 + 37.164 + 4.168 = C$-47 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.986 + -113.98 + -7.621 + -11.647 = C$-135 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 66.256 + 140.973 + 144.056 + 58.763 = C$410 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$109 Mil.
Revenue was 240.346 + 223.776 + 222.185 + 214.942 = C$901 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55.318 + 35.375 + 32.962 + 41.669 = C$165 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$362 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,663 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,228 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$238 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$79 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$190 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$387 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(110.083 / 1199.772) / (108.561 / 901.249)
=0.091753 / 0.120456
=0.7617

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(165.324 / 901.249) / (295.672 / 1199.772)
=0.183439 / 0.24644
=0.7444

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (422.357 + 2121.181) / 2635.974) / (1 - (362.301 + 2227.528) / 2662.793)
=0.035067 / 0.027401
=1.2798

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1199.772 / 901.249
=1.3312

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(238.472 / (238.472 + 2227.528)) / (303.629 / (303.629 + 2121.181))
=0.096704 / 0.125218
=0.7723

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(90.563 / 1199.772) / (79.472 / 901.249)
=0.075484 / 0.08818
=0.856

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((220.305 + 333.331) / 2635.974) / ((386.859 + 190.424) / 2662.793)
=0.210031 / 0.216796
=0.9688

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-46.987 - -135.234 - 410.048) / 2635.974
=-0.12208

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Fortuna Silver Mines has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Fortuna Silver Mines Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Fortuna Silver Mines (TSX:FVI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 Burrard Street, Suite 650, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3L6
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc is engaged in precious and base metal mining and related activities in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Cote d'Ivoire. The company operates the open pit Lindero gold mine in northern Argentina, the underground Yaramoko mine in southwestern Burkina Faso, the underground San Jose silver and gold mine in southern Mexico, the underground Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine in southern Peru, and is developing the open pit Seguela gold mine in southwestern Cote d'Ivoire. The company earns revenue from contracts with customers related to its concentrate and dore sales.
Executives
David Whittle Senior Officer

Fortuna Silver Mines (TSX:FVI) Headlines