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Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) Beneish M-Score : -1.40 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Baytex Energy Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.4 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:BTE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.32   Med: -2.99   Max: -1.4
Current: -1.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Baytex Energy was -1.40. The lowest was -6.32. And the median was -2.99.


Baytex Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Baytex Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

Baytex Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.99 - -1.40

Baytex Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 13.41 - -1.40 -1.40

Competitive Comparison of Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Baytex Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Baytex Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Baytex Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3051+0.528 * 1.6187+0.404 * 3.2848+0.892 * 1.1708+0.115 * 0.8101
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1573+4.679 * -0.072522-0.327 * 1.6708
=-1.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$339 Mil.
Revenue was 1065.515 + 1163.01 + 598.76 + 555.336 = C$3,383 Mil.
Gross Profit was 194.001 + 351.298 + 127.689 + 106.99 = C$780 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$440 Mil.
Total Assets was C$7,461 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$6,746 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$1,048 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$107 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$558 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$2,427 Mil.
Net Income was -625.83 + 127.43 + 213.603 + 51.441 = C$-233 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -899.126 + -71.344 + -24.072 + 6.539 = C$-988 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 474.452 + 444.033 + 192.308 + 184.938 = C$1,296 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$222 Mil.
Revenue was 648.986 + 712.065 + 854.169 + 673.825 = C$2,889 Mil.
Gross Profit was 198.173 + 257.039 + 364.245 + 258.893 = C$1,078 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$244 Mil.
Total Assets was C$5,104 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$4,802 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$587 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$79 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$289 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$934 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(339.405 / 3382.621) / (222.108 / 2889.045)
=0.100338 / 0.076879
=1.3051

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1078.35 / 2889.045) / (779.978 / 3382.621)
=0.373255 / 0.230584
=1.6187

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (440.024 + 6746.033) / 7460.931) / (1 - (244.054 + 4802.471) / 5103.769)
=0.036842 / 0.011216
=3.2848

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3382.621 / 2889.045
=1.1708

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(587.05 / (587.05 + 4802.471)) / (1047.904 / (1047.904 + 6746.033))
=0.108924 / 0.134451
=0.8101

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(107.488 / 3382.621) / (79.326 / 2889.045)
=0.031777 / 0.027458
=1.1573

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2427.166 + 558.023) / 7460.931) / ((933.646 + 288.529) / 5103.769)
=0.400109 / 0.239465
=1.6708

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-233.356 - -988.003 - 1295.731) / 7460.931
=-0.072522

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Baytex Energy has a M-score of -1.40 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Baytex Energy Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2800, 520 - 3rd Avenue SW, Centennial Place, East Tower, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 0R3
Baytex Energy Corp is an oil and gas company. Geographically, the group operates in Canada and the United States. The company derives a majority of revenue from Canada. Its Canada segment includes the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in Western Canada.
Executives
Tiffany Thom Cepak Director
Eric Thomas Greager Senior Officer