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Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) Beneish M-Score : -2.91 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9534' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.74   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hokkaido Gas Co was -1.95. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.74.


Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Hokkaido Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.86 -3.11 -2.75 -1.96

Hokkaido Gas Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.95 -1.96 -2.36 -2.47 -2.91

Competitive Comparison of Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hokkaido Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8262+0.528 * 0.9431+0.404 * 1.2379+0.892 * 1.1665+0.115 * 0.9915
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9454+4.679 * -0.115274-0.327 * 0.8569
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円18,947 Mil.
Revenue was 41802 + 32679 + 40268 + 67121 = 円181,870 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9321 + 8836 + 12979 + 18949 = 円50,085 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円40,992 Mil.
Total Assets was 円178,887 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円119,292 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円13,842 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円33,666 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円35,509 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円62,245 Mil.
Net Income was 435 + 602 + 3833 + 7044 = 円11,914 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1461 + 1426 + 15330 + 14318 = 円32,535 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円19,659 Mil.
Revenue was 45173 + 29721 + 32825 + 48185.442 = 円155,904 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8447 + 6952 + 10591 + 14502.452 = 円40,492 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円55,615 Mil.
Total Assets was 円189,194 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円117,685 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円13,526 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円30,525 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円50,088 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円70,558 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18947 / 181870) / (19659.478 / 155904.442)
=0.104179 / 0.1261
=0.8262

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(40492.452 / 155904.442) / (50085 / 181870)
=0.259726 / 0.275389
=0.9431

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (40992 + 119292) / 178887) / (1 - (55615.431 + 117685.156) / 189193.996)
=0.103993 / 0.084006
=1.2379

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=181870 / 155904.442
=1.1665

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(13526.429 / (13526.429 + 117685.156)) / (13842 / (13842 + 119292))
=0.103089 / 0.10397
=0.9915

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(33666 / 181870) / (30524.812 / 155904.442)
=0.18511 / 0.195792
=0.9454

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((62245 + 35509) / 178887) / ((70558.495 + 50087.722) / 189193.996)
=0.546457 / 0.637685
=0.8569

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11914 - 0 - 32535) / 178887
=-0.115274

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hokkaido Gas Co has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-1, Odori Nishi 7-chome, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, JPN
Hokkaido Gas Co Ltd is a Japan-based company operating in the utility sector. Its business activities included gas, heat supply, power supply, and sale of gas by-products. The company is also engaged in the production and sale of gas appliances and related construction work. Hokkaido serves to individual and corporate customers in areas throughout Japan including Sapporo, Otaru, Hakodate, Chitose, Ishikari, Kitahiroshima, Eniwa, Hokuto, and Kitami.

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