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Monex Group (TSE:8698) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Monex Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Monex Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8698' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.43   Max: -1.77
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Monex Group was -1.77. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.43.


Monex Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Monex Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Monex Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Monex Group Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -1.84 -1.77 -2.46 -2.53

Monex Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.25 -2.49 -3.38 -2.53

Competitive Comparison of Monex Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Monex Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Monex Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Monex Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Monex Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Monex Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Monex Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5291+0.528 * 0.999+0.404 * 0.9078+0.892 * 1.0619+0.115 * 1.0583
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7356+4.679 * 0.03051-0.327 * 0.4718
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円47,870 Mil.
Revenue was 37194 + 15463 + 22836 + 22167 = 円97,660 Mil.
Gross Profit was 37178 + 15412 + 22795 + 22148 = 円97,533 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円594,614 Mil.
Total Assets was 円761,642 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円6,579 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,153 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円61,612 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円9,079 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円100,161 Mil.
Net Income was 24751 + 2284 + 1844 + 2414 = 円31,293 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -7018 + 20812 + -26071 + 20332 = 円8,055 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円85,206 Mil.
Revenue was 38526 + 12191 + 21166 + 20084 = 円91,967 Mil.
Gross Profit was 38513 + 12079 + 21111 + 20055 = 円91,758 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,149,034 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,504,110 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円6,043 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,542 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円78,871 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円41,576 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円415,709 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(47870 / 97660) / (85206 / 91967)
=0.49017 / 0.926484
=0.5291

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(91758 / 91967) / (97533 / 97660)
=0.997727 / 0.9987
=0.999

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (594614 + 6579) / 761642) / (1 - (1149034 + 6043) / 1504110)
=0.210662 / 0.232053
=0.9078

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=97660 / 91967
=1.0619

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8542 / (8542 + 6043)) / (8153 / (8153 + 6579))
=0.58567 / 0.553421
=1.0583

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(61612 / 97660) / (78871 / 91967)
=0.630883 / 0.857601
=0.7356

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((100161 + 9079) / 761642) / ((415709 + 41576) / 1504110)
=0.143427 / 0.304024
=0.4718

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(31293 - 0 - 8055) / 761642
=0.03051

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Monex Group has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Monex Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Monex Group (TSE:8698) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-4-1, Kojimachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-0083
Monex Group Inc is functional in the financial services domain of Japan. Its core business is that of securities trading. Operating in the capital markets industry, the company renders such services as online securities business, the foreign exchange (FX) trading business, as well as the provision of merger and acquisition (M&A) advisory services. Most of its revenue is in the form of brokerage derived from its capital market activities majorly in Japan and on a minor scale in the United States and China.

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