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Okasan Securities Group (TSE:8609) Beneish M-Score : -2.13 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Okasan Securities Group Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Okasan Securities Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8609' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Okasan Securities Group was -2.12. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.60.


Okasan Securities Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Okasan Securities Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0059+0.892 * 1.2886+0.115 * 0.8383
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8027+4.679 * 0.014844-0.327 * 0.9789
=-2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円0 Mil.
Revenue was 円85,341 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円85,341 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,207,779 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円16,495 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,222 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円19,646 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円366,947 Mil.
Net Income was 円13,167 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-4,761 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円0 Mil.
Revenue was 円66,226 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円66,226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円876,057 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円16,991 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,697 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円18,993 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円271,914 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 85341) / (0 / 66226)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(66226 / 66226) / (85341 / 85341)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 16495) / 1207779) / (1 - (0 + 16991) / 876057)
=0.986343 / 0.980605
=1.0059

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=85341 / 66226
=1.2886

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2697 / (2697 + 16991)) / (3222 / (3222 + 16495))
=0.136987 / 0.163412
=0.8383

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19646 / 85341) / (18993 / 66226)
=0.230206 / 0.286791
=0.8027

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((366947 + 0) / 1207779) / ((271914 + 0) / 876057)
=0.30382 / 0.310384
=0.9789

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13167 - 0 - -4761) / 1207779
=0.014844

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Okasan Securities Group has a M-score of -2.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Okasan Securities Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Okasan Securities Group (TSE:8609) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-17-6, Nihonbashi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8268
Okasan Securities Group is a Japan-based holding company that conducts businesses through a network of domestic and overseas subsidiaries. The company has three business segments. The securities business, which accounts for the majority of sales, is involved in trading, brokerage, underwriting, and distribution of securities, public offering, secondary distribution of securities, and private offering of securities. The asset-management business is involved in investment management and investment advisory. The support business is engaged in information processing services, administrative support services, custodianship, and temping services. The company generates the majority of revenue from Japan.