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AirTrip (TSE:6191) Beneish M-Score : -2.45 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is AirTrip Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AirTrip's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6191' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.12   Med: -2.09   Max: -0.2
Current: -2.45

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AirTrip was -0.20. The lowest was -5.12. And the median was -2.09.


AirTrip Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AirTrip's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AirTrip Beneish M-Score Chart

AirTrip Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.87 -4.75 -3.13 -2.09 -2.48

AirTrip Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.30 -2.48 -2.71 -2.45

Competitive Comparison of AirTrip's Beneish M-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, AirTrip's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AirTrip's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AirTrip's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AirTrip's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AirTrip Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AirTrip for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8113+0.528 * 0.8507+0.404 * 1.4907+0.892 * 1.2358+0.115 * 0.9823
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0924+4.679 * -0.036044-0.327 * 0.8222
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,703 Mil.
Revenue was 6088 + 6397 + 6634 + 5164 = 円24,283 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3453 + 3786 + 4201 + 3423 = 円14,863 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円20,181 Mil.
Total Assets was 円28,798 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,661 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円677 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円11,312 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,979 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,712 Mil.
Net Income was 776 + 238 + -599 + 758 = 円1,173 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 547 + -725 + 639 + 1750 = 円2,211 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,696 Mil.
Revenue was 6556 + 5031 + 5044 + 3018 = 円19,649 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3432 + 2471 + 2448 + 1880 = 円10,231 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円20,876 Mil.
Total Assets was 円26,933 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,693 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円673 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,379 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円11,809 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,765 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2703 / 24283) / (2696 / 19649)
=0.111312 / 0.137208
=0.8113

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10231 / 19649) / (14863 / 24283)
=0.520688 / 0.612074
=0.8507

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20181 + 1661) / 28798) / (1 - (20876 + 1693) / 26933)
=0.241545 / 0.162032
=1.4907

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24283 / 19649
=1.2358

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(673 / (673 + 1693)) / (677 / (677 + 1661))
=0.284446 / 0.289564
=0.9823

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11312 / 24283) / (8379 / 19649)
=0.46584 / 0.426434
=1.0924

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2712 + 10979) / 28798) / ((3765 + 11809) / 26933)
=0.475415 / 0.57825
=0.8222

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1173 - 0 - 2211) / 28798
=-0.036044

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AirTrip has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AirTrip Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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AirTrip (TSE:6191) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2-5-1, Atago, 19th Floor, Atago Green Hills MORI Tower, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-6219
AirTrip Corp engages in the online travel agency business in Japan. The company also provides tourism services. In addition, it offers IT offshore development project services, such as laboratory offshore development and BPO services. Further, the company engages in the investment business.

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