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Lion (TSE:4912) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Lion Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lion's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4912' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.73   Med: -2.48   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lion was -2.21. The lowest was -2.73. And the median was -2.48.


Lion Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lion's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lion Beneish M-Score Chart

Lion Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 -2.62 -2.25 -2.66 -2.53

Lion Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.74 -2.58 -2.53 -

Competitive Comparison of Lion's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Lion's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lion's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lion's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lion's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lion Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lion for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0731+0.528 * 0.9778+0.404 * 1.0553+0.892 * 1.0284+0.115 * 0.9166
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0225+4.679 * -0.042318-0.327 * 0.962
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円69,682 Mil.
Revenue was 92965 + 106670 + 103210 + 102037 = 円404,882 Mil.
Gross Profit was 42232 + 49250 + 45493 + 46608 = 円183,583 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円210,659 Mil.
Total Assets was 円462,902 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円168,377 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円20,501 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円161,958 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円127,424 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円27,821 Mil.
Net Income was 3548 + 5774 + 4552 + 2720 = 円16,594 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -5134 + 16951 + 9978 + 14388 = 円36,183 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円63,141 Mil.
Revenue was 90849 + 103728 + 100946 + 98165 = 円393,688 Mil.
Gross Profit was 39245 + 46941 + 44887 + 43479 = 円174,552 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円211,550 Mil.
Total Assets was 円457,935 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円167,765 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円18,535 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円154,012 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円130,679 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円28,967 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(69682 / 404882) / (63141 / 393688)
=0.172104 / 0.160383
=1.0731

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(174552 / 393688) / (183583 / 404882)
=0.443376 / 0.453423
=0.9778

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (210659 + 168377) / 462902) / (1 - (211550 + 167765) / 457935)
=0.181174 / 0.171684
=1.0553

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=404882 / 393688
=1.0284

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(18535 / (18535 + 167765)) / (20501 / (20501 + 168377))
=0.09949 / 0.108541
=0.9166

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(161958 / 404882) / (154012 / 393688)
=0.400013 / 0.391203
=1.0225

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27821 + 127424) / 462902) / ((28967 + 130679) / 457935)
=0.335373 / 0.348622
=0.962

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16594 - 0 - 36183) / 462902
=-0.042318

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lion has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lion (TSE:4912) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-chome 3-7, Honjo, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 130-8644
Lion Corp is a Japanese household and personal products manufacturer. Its operations are the manufacture and sale of soaps, cleansers, toothpastes, toothbrushes, hair-care products, skin-care products, cooking-related products, and pharmaceuticals. Lion also exports its products to overseas affiliates. The business is divided into the consumer products business, the overseas business, the industrial products business, and others. The major overseas markets are Thailand, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, China, and Malaysia.

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