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Secure (TSE:4264) Beneish M-Score : -1.92 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Secure Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Secure's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4264' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.57   Med: -2.25   Max: -1.92
Current: -1.92

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Secure was -1.92. The lowest was -2.57. And the median was -2.25.


Secure Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Secure's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Secure Beneish M-Score Chart

Secure Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.57 -1.92

Secure Quarterly Data
Dec20 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 - - - -1.92

Competitive Comparison of Secure's Beneish M-Score

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Secure's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Secure's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Secure's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Secure's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Secure Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Secure for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1159+0.528 * 0.9982+0.404 * 0.7074+0.892 * 1.5338+0.115 * 1.0388
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.025313-0.327 * 1.0856
=-1.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円787 Mil.
Revenue was 円5,191 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,016 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,408 Mil.
Total Assets was 円2,750 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円220 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円60 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,198 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円475 Mil.
Net Income was 円169 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円99 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円460 Mil.
Revenue was 円3,385 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,312 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,651 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,993 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円217 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円62 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円839 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円278 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(786.836 / 5191.074) / (459.722 / 3384.508)
=0.151575 / 0.135831
=1.1159

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1312.003 / 3384.508) / (2015.976 / 5191.074)
=0.38765 / 0.388354
=0.9982

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2408.33 + 219.658) / 2749.733) / (1 - (1651.197 + 217.059) / 1993)
=0.044275 / 0.062591
=0.7074

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5191.074 / 3384.508
=1.5338

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(61.745 / (61.745 + 217.059)) / (59.517 / (59.517 + 219.658))
=0.221464 / 0.213189
=1.0388

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 5191.074) / (0 / 3384.508)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((475.24 + 1197.959) / 2749.733) / ((278.243 + 838.908) / 1993)
=0.608495 / 0.560537
=1.0856

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(168.79 - 0 - 99.185) / 2749.733
=0.025313

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Secure has a M-score of -1.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Secure (TSE:4264) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-6-1 Nishishinjuku, 20F Shinjuku-Sumitomo Building, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 163-0220
Secure Inc provides access control and surveillance camera systems for corporate service.

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