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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (TSE:4063) Beneish M-Score : -2.56 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4063' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.35
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co was -2.35. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.60.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.56 -2.35 -2.51 -2.56

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.56 - -

Competitive Comparison of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1859+0.528 * 1.1456+0.404 * 0.9616+0.892 * 0.8598+0.115 * 1.0699
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.045657-0.327 * 0.9323
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円481,812 Mil.
Revenue was 円2,414,937 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円911,209 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,036,509 Mil.
Total Assets was 円5,147,974 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,746,577 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円227,619 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円520,395 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円13,913 Mil.
Net Income was 円520,140 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円755,183 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円472,557 Mil.
Revenue was 円2,808,824 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,214,107 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,863,524 Mil.
Total Assets was 円4,730,394 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,518,190 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円213,632 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円507,810 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円18,812 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(481812 / 2414937) / (472557 / 2808824)
=0.199513 / 0.16824
=1.1859

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1214107 / 2808824) / (911209 / 2414937)
=0.432247 / 0.377322
=1.1456

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3036509 + 1746577) / 5147974) / (1 - (2863524 + 1518190) / 4730394)
=0.07088 / 0.073711
=0.9616

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2414937 / 2808824
=0.8598

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(213632 / (213632 + 1518190)) / (227619 / (227619 + 1746577))
=0.123357 / 0.115297
=1.0699

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2414937) / (0 / 2808824)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13913 + 520395) / 5147974) / ((18812 + 507810) / 4730394)
=0.10379 / 0.111327
=0.9323

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(520140 - 0 - 755183) / 5147974
=-0.045657

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6-1, Ohtemachi 2-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0004
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd is a Japan-based company primarily engaged in chemical business. The company operates in six business segments namely Poly Vinyl Chloride, Specialty Chemicals, Silicon, Semiconductor Silicon, Electronic and Functional Materials and Diversified business. It derives majority of revenue through Poly Vinyl Chloride segment which manufactures and sells vinyl chloride, caustic soda products, chloromethane and methanol. The group is also involved in manufacturing and selling of various other chemical products such as Polyvinyl alcohol, Synthetic pheromones, Rare-earth magnets for electronics industry and general applications, Photoresists, Photomask blanks and others. Geographically, it operates from the market of Japan and its business is amplifying across the globe.

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