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Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) Beneish M-Score : -2.93 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Tokai Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.93 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3167' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -2.9   Max: -2.67
Current: -2.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokai Holdings was -2.67. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -2.90.


Tokai Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tokai Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokai Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -3.05 -2.67 -2.77 -2.93

Tokai Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 - - - -2.93

Competitive Comparison of Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tokai Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokai Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0057+0.528 * 0.9622+0.404 * 1.0976+0.892 * 1.0057+0.115 * 1.0054
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.105138-0.327 * 0.9638
=-2.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円30,241 Mil.
Revenue was 円231,513 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円89,951 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円54,719 Mil.
Total Assets was 円205,301 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円114,298 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円16,695 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円61,761 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円46,443 Mil.
Net Income was 円8,481 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円30,066 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円29,899 Mil.
Revenue was 円230,190 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円86,060 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円51,824 Mil.
Total Assets was 円193,339 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円110,384 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円16,224 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円61,046 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円44,678 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(30241 / 231513) / (29899 / 230190)
=0.130623 / 0.129888
=1.0057

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(86060 / 230190) / (89951 / 231513)
=0.373865 / 0.388535
=0.9622

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (54719 + 114298) / 205301) / (1 - (51824 + 110384) / 193339)
=0.176736 / 0.161018
=1.0976

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=231513 / 230190
=1.0057

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16224 / (16224 + 110384)) / (16695 / (16695 + 114298))
=0.128144 / 0.12745
=1.0054

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 231513) / (0 / 230190)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((46443 + 61761) / 205301) / ((44678 + 61046) / 193339)
=0.527051 / 0.546832
=0.9638

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8481 - 0 - 30066) / 205301
=-0.105138

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokai Holdings has a M-score of -2.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tokai Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2-6-8, Tokiwa-Cho, Aoi-ku, Shizuoka Prefecture, Shizuoka, JPN, 5008828
Tokai Holdings Corp is engaged in miscellaneous business operations. The scope of its activities includes energy, residential real estate and cable television. The energy business relates to the sale of liquefied petroleum gas, liquefied natural gas, oil products, high-pressure gas such as oxygen and nitrogen. The real estate division is responsible for the construction and design of residential buildings and stores. The communication division is engaged in software development, information processing service, optical fiber leasing, data transmission, and the sale of asymmetric digital subscriber line.

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