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Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co (SZSE:002092) Beneish M-Score : -3.36 (As of May. 30, 2024)


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What is Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002092' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.36   Med: -2.42   Max: -1.22
Current: -3.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co was -1.22. The lowest was -3.36. And the median was -2.42.


Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.95 -2.35 -2.46 -3.01 -3.14

Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.95 -2.41 -2.92 -3.14 -3.36

Competitive Comparison of Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9022+0.528 * 1.1561+0.404 * 1.0853+0.892 * 0.7219+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3802+4.679 * -0.123337-0.327 * 1.0387
=-3.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥6,120 Mil.
Revenue was 7780.206 + 6829.974 + 9846.21 + 9735.457 = ¥34,192 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1061.12 + 910.898 + 1058.719 + 689.829 = ¥3,721 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥15,455 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥72,527 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥49,817 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥2,591 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥31,047 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥9,381 Mil.
Net Income was -177.036 + -1716.131 + -216.313 + -618.657 = ¥-2,728 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 781.241 + 1611.742 + 2255.638 + 1568.489 = ¥6,217 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥9,396 Mil.
Revenue was 10706.408 + 10529.794 + 11783.509 + 14343.589 = ¥47,363 Mil.
Gross Profit was 878.869 + 1166.75 + 1516.051 + 2396.607 = ¥5,958 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥25,512 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥82,294 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥49,197 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥2,601 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥33,804 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥10,362 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6120.002 / 34191.847) / (9396.42 / 47363.3)
=0.17899 / 0.19839
=0.9022

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5958.277 / 47363.3) / (3720.566 / 34191.847)
=0.125799 / 0.108814
=1.1561

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (15455.294 + 49816.753) / 72527.118) / (1 - (25511.808 + 49196.535) / 82293.69)
=0.100033 / 0.092174
=1.0853

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34191.847 / 47363.3
=0.7219

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 49196.535)) / (0 / (0 + 49816.753))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2591.325 / 34191.847) / (2600.758 / 47363.3)
=0.075788 / 0.054911
=1.3802

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9381.319 + 31047.072) / 72527.118) / ((10361.706 + 33803.617) / 82293.69)
=0.557424 / 0.536679
=1.0387

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-2728.137 - 0 - 6217.11) / 72527.118
=-0.123337

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co has a M-score of -3.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co (SZSE:002092) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 39 Yangcheng Lake Road, Urumqi Economic and Technological Development Zone, Toutunhe, CHN, 830026
Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co Ltd is a large integrated chemical manufacturing company. It produces chlor-alkali, crude salt, calcium carbide, and coke products. Its primary geographic markets are Xinjiang, East China and the Southern part of China. The company also exports its products to Russia, South Asia such as India, Vietnam, Pakistan, South America and Africa.
Executives
Zhao Yong Lu Supervisors
Wang Ya Ling Executives
Liang Bin Director
Lei Xia Executives
Feng Zhao Hai Supervisors
Hao Zhen Yu Independent director
Ma Jiang Feng Executives
Tang Xiang Jun Supervisors
Peng Jiang Ling Executives
Zhang Qun Rong Executives
Fan Xue Feng Executives
Lou Gang Director
Zhang Su Quan Director
Liu Wen Xian Executives
Zheng Xin Zhou Directors, executives

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