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Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co (SZSE:000685) Beneish M-Score : -2.30 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000685' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.26   Max: 4.29
Current: -2.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co was 4.29. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.26.


Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.24 -2.00 -2.78 -1.21 -2.26

Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.34 -1.68 -1.33 -2.26 -2.30

Competitive Comparison of Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8859+0.528 * 0.9451+0.404 * 0.9512+0.892 * 1.3247+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8345+4.679 * 0.014463-0.327 * 1.1516
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,198 Mil.
Revenue was 895.851 + 2131.075 + 1212.179 + 980.986 = ¥5,220 Mil.
Gross Profit was 224.705 + 354.807 + 292.787 + 214.299 = ¥1,087 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥4,222 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥29,273 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥4,108 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥133 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥6,802 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥5,313 Mil.
Net Income was 187.807 + 138.823 + 255.971 + 283.193 = ¥866 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -380.334 + 415.937 + -146.073 + 552.888 = ¥442 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,873 Mil.
Revenue was 874.751 + 1896.932 + 673.134 + 495.834 = ¥3,941 Mil.
Gross Profit was 186.174 + 270.328 + 209.275 + 109.486 = ¥775 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥4,002 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥25,909 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,421 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥120 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥6,811 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥2,500 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2198.468 / 5220.091) / (1873.427 / 3940.651)
=0.421155 / 0.475411
=0.8859

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(775.263 / 3940.651) / (1086.598 / 5220.091)
=0.196735 / 0.208157
=0.9451

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4222.102 + 4108.143) / 29273.322) / (1 - (4001.623 + 2421.191) / 25908.63)
=0.715432 / 0.752098
=0.9512

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5220.091 / 3940.651
=1.3247

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2421.191)) / (0 / (0 + 4108.143))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(132.821 / 5220.091) / (120.145 / 3940.651)
=0.025444 / 0.030489
=0.8345

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5312.564 + 6802.242) / 29273.322) / ((2499.778 + 6810.883) / 25908.63)
=0.413851 / 0.359365
=1.1516

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(865.794 - 0 - 442.418) / 29273.322
=0.014463

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co (SZSE:000685) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
18 Xingzhong Road, North Block, Caixing Building, Zhongshan, Guangdong, CHN, 528403
Zhongshan Public Utilities Group Co Ltd is engaged in providing integrated environmental protection services for urban water supply and wastewater treatment. The company also deals in agricultural products, financial products, transport services, construction of municipal utilities, and solid waste treatment.

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