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Geo Energy Resources (SGX:RE4) Beneish M-Score : -1.55 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Geo Energy Resources Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:RE4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.57   Med: -2.12   Max: 5.2
Current: -1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Geo Energy Resources was 5.20. The lowest was -5.57. And the median was -2.12.


Geo Energy Resources Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Geo Energy Resources Beneish M-Score Chart

Geo Energy Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.20 -0.02 -3.20 -2.68 -1.55

Geo Energy Resources Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 - -2.85 -1.84 -1.55

Competitive Comparison of Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Geo Energy Resources's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Geo Energy Resources Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Geo Energy Resources for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4938+0.528 * 2.2891+0.404 * 0.933+0.892 * 0.6511+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8666+4.679 * 0.095951-0.327 * 1.5006
=-1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$36.8 Mil.
Revenue was 184.092 + 151.388 + 145.235 + 176.784 = S$657.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20.5 + 21.613 + 27.012 + 37.439 = S$106.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$407.8 Mil.
Total Assets was S$1,248.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$657.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$29.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$163.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$298.1 Mil.
Net Income was 29.986 + 15.636 + 14.987 + 21.465 = S$82.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = S$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + -12.128 + -25.609 = S$-37.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$37.9 Mil.
Revenue was 270.91 + 233.001 + 299.379 + 206.559 = S$1,009.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 88.131 + 78.356 + 130.289 + 77.891 = S$374.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$458.0 Mil.
Total Assets was S$761.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$183.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$24.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$183.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$4.1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(36.835 / 657.499) / (37.873 / 1009.849)
=0.056023 / 0.037504
=1.4938

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(374.667 / 1009.849) / (106.564 / 657.499)
=0.371013 / 0.162075
=2.2891

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (407.83 + 657.01) / 1248.668) / (1 - (458.028 + 182.974) / 761.099)
=0.147219 / 0.157794
=0.933

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=657.499 / 1009.849
=0.6511

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 182.974)) / (0 / (0 + 657.01))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(29.806 / 657.499) / (24.525 / 1009.849)
=0.045332 / 0.024286
=1.8666

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((298.149 + 163.354) / 1248.668) / ((4.096 + 183.362) / 761.099)
=0.369596 / 0.246299
=1.5006

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(82.074 - 0 - -37.737) / 1248.668
=0.095951

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Geo Energy Resources has a M-score of -1.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Geo Energy Resources Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Geo Energy Resources (SGX:RE4) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7 Temasek Boulevard, Suite 39-02, Suntec Tower One, Singapore, SGP, 038987
Geo Energy Resources Ltd is an investment holding company, which operates as a coal producer and mines contractor. The operating segments of the company are Coal Mining, Coal Trading, and Mining Services. The Coal Mining segment, which accounts for the majority of the revenue, sells coal produced from operating owned coal mines. The Coal Trading segment purchases and sells coal from third parties. The Mining Services segment engages in mining, contracting, and equipment rental services. Its geographical segments are Indonesia, the People's Republic of China (PRC), Thailand, India, the Philippines, Vietnam, Korea, and Pakistan.

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