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Grand Fortune Securities Co (ROCO:6026) Beneish M-Score : -0.75 (As of May. 19, 2024)


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What is Grand Fortune Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.75 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ROCO:6026' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.69   Med: -2.13   Max: 1.69
Current: -0.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grand Fortune Securities Co was 1.69. The lowest was -3.69. And the median was -2.13.


Grand Fortune Securities Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grand Fortune Securities Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Grand Fortune Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 -1.53 -0.86 -3.22 -1.37

Grand Fortune Securities Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 -0.13 -2.13 -1.37 -0.75

Competitive Comparison of Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grand Fortune Securities Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grand Fortune Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grand Fortune Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9986+0.528 * 1.0013+0.404 * 2.09+0.892 * 1.7599+0.115 * 0.7797
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.137639-0.327 * 1.0274
=-0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$2,186 Mil.
Revenue was 416.887 + 418.523 + 319.875 + 195.938 = NT$1,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was 413.658 + 416.308 + 317.634 + 194.121 = NT$1,342 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$10,744 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$12,015 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$76 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$47 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$6,582 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$28 Mil.
Net Income was 196.208 + 164.64 + 158.364 + 120.815 = NT$640 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -173.742 + -756.334 + 663.441 + -747.065 = NT$-1,014 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$1,244 Mil.
Revenue was 197.29 + 112.09 + 201.192 + 257.215 = NT$768 Mil.
Gross Profit was 196.127 + 111.145 + 200.146 + 255.984 = NT$763 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$11,170 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$11,837 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$105 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$44 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$6,290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$49 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2186.385 / 1351.223) / (1244.113 / 767.787)
=1.618079 / 1.620388
=0.9986

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(763.402 / 767.787) / (1341.721 / 1351.223)
=0.994289 / 0.992968
=1.0013

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10744.264 + 76.162) / 12014.938) / (1 - (11169.529 + 104.546) / 11837.146)
=0.099419 / 0.047568
=2.09

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1351.223 / 767.787
=1.7599

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(44.348 / (44.348 + 104.546)) / (47.083 / (47.083 + 76.162))
=0.297849 / 0.382028
=0.7797

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1351.223) / (0 / 767.787)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((28.484 + 6581.517) / 12014.938) / ((48.721 + 6289.712) / 11837.146)
=0.550149 / 0.53547
=1.0274

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(640.027 - 0 - -1013.7) / 12014.938
=0.137639

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grand Fortune Securities Co has a M-score of -0.75 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Grand Fortune Securities Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grand Fortune Securities Co (ROCO:6026) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Zhongxiao West Road, 5th, 6th, 7th floor, No. 6, Section 1, Zhongzheng District, Taipei, TWN
Grand Fortune Securities Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated securities house, that runs businesses of the underwriting of marketable securities, proprietary trading, brokerage of marketable securities, stock registrar, and other securities-related businesses approved by the regulators.

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