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Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) Beneish M-Score : -3.00 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Mabuhay Vinyl Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:MVC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.34   Max: -0.77
Current: -3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mabuhay Vinyl was -0.77. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.34.


Mabuhay Vinyl Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mabuhay Vinyl Beneish M-Score Chart

Mabuhay Vinyl Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -1.69 -1.64 -1.51 -2.68

Mabuhay Vinyl Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.60 -1.66 -1.92 -2.68 -3.00

Competitive Comparison of Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mabuhay Vinyl's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Mabuhay Vinyl Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mabuhay Vinyl for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.042+0.528 * 0.9256+0.404 * 1.0855+0.892 * 0.927+0.115 * 1.1384
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0948+4.679 * -0.076134-0.327 * 1.416
=-3.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₱1,281 Mil.
Revenue was 718.282 + 761.544 + 743.777 + 747.123 = ₱2,971 Mil.
Gross Profit was 278.087 + 270.343 + 324.11 + 317.128 = ₱1,190 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱2,706 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱4,550 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱1,571 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱108 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱476 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱487 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱113 Mil.
Net Income was 94.402 + 41.163 + 122.223 + 132.173 = ₱390 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₱0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 206.761 + 22.944 + 249.556 + 257.098 = ₱736 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₱1,326 Mil.
Revenue was 821.327 + 820.588 + 736.93 + 825.94 = ₱3,205 Mil.
Gross Profit was 296.18 + 325.811 + 290.309 + 275.564 = ₱1,188 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱2,558 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱4,006 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱1,227 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱97 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱469 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱328 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱45 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1281.276 / 2970.726) / (1326.48 / 3204.785)
=0.431301 / 0.413906
=1.042

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1187.864 / 3204.785) / (1189.668 / 2970.726)
=0.370653 / 0.400464
=0.9256

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2706.439 + 1570.998) / 4549.851) / (1 - (2558.034 + 1226.788) / 4005.763)
=0.059873 / 0.055156
=1.0855

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2970.726 / 3204.785
=0.927

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(97.185 / (97.185 + 1226.788)) / (108.276 / (108.276 + 1570.998))
=0.073404 / 0.064478
=1.1384

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(476.274 / 2970.726) / (469.293 / 3204.785)
=0.160322 / 0.146435
=1.0948

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((112.71 + 486.644) / 4549.851) / ((45.005 + 327.65) / 4005.763)
=0.13173 / 0.09303
=1.416

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(389.961 - 0 - 736.359) / 4549.851
=-0.076134

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mabuhay Vinyl has a M-score of -3.00 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Mabuhay Vinyl Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
169 H.V. Dela Costa Street, 22nd Floor, The Salcedo Towers, Salcedo Village, Makati City, PHL, 1227
Mabuhay Vinyl Corp is a Philippines based Chlor-Alkali chemical producer. It focuses on manufacturing and distributing basic and intermediate chemicals. Some of its products are caustic soda, hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite and chlorine which are widely used in diversified industries. The Group considers the manufacturing and distribution of basic and intermediate chemicals as its business activity and only operating segment.

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