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Northrop Grumman (Northrop Grumman) Beneish M-Score : -2.62 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NOC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northrop Grumman was -2.08. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was -2.54.


Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Chart

Northrop Grumman Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.64 -2.68 -2.52 -2.62

Northrop Grumman Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.72 -2.65 -2.62 -

Competitive Comparison of Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northrop Grumman's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northrop Grumman for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9255+0.528 * 1.2244+0.404 * 0.9587+0.892 * 1.0813+0.115 * 1.0685
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9411+4.679 * -0.040257-0.327 * 1.0554
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $8,282 Mil.
Revenue was 10133 + 10638 + 9775 + 9576 = $40,122 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2133 + 485 + 2041 + 2040 = $6,699 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,796 Mil.
Total Assets was $47,818 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $11,453 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,339 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,870 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,132 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16,572 Mil.
Net Income was 944 + -535 + 937 + 812 = $2,158 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 38 + -236 + 243 + 167 = $212 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -706 + 2430 + 1228 + 919 = $3,871 Mil.
Total Receivables was $8,276 Mil.
Revenue was 9301 + 10033 + 8971 + 8801 = $37,106 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1985 + 1824 + 1818 + 1959 = $7,586 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,810 Mil.
Total Assets was $44,244 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,617 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,337 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,803 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,483 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,559 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8282 / 40122) / (8276 / 37106)
=0.20642 / 0.223037
=0.9255

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7586 / 37106) / (6699 / 40122)
=0.204441 / 0.166966
=1.2244

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14796 + 11453) / 47818) / (1 - (12810 + 10617) / 44244)
=0.451064 / 0.470504
=0.9587

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=40122 / 37106
=1.0813

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1337 / (1337 + 10617)) / (1339 / (1339 + 11453))
=0.111845 / 0.104675
=1.0685

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3870 / 40122) / (3803 / 37106)
=0.096456 / 0.10249
=0.9411

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16572 + 13132) / 47818) / ((15559 + 10483) / 44244)
=0.621189 / 0.5886
=1.0554

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2158 - 212 - 3871) / 47818
=-0.040257

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northrop Grumman has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Northrop Grumman Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Northrop Grumman (Northrop Grumman) Business Description

Address
2980 Fairview Park Drive, Falls Church, VA, USA, 22042
Northrop Grumman is a diversified defense contractor providing aeronautics, defense, mission, and space systems. The company's aerospace segment creates the fuselage for the massive F-35 program and produces autonomous and piloted aircraft such as Global Hawk drones and the new B-21 bomber. Defense systems makes artillery and missile ammunition and guidance systems, missile defense systems, and conducts maintenance and upgrades on numerous military aircraft. Mission systems creates and integrates a variety of radar, navigation, and communication systems for avionics, weapons control, and countermeasures on a range of platforms from helicopters to destroyers. Finally, space systems produces satellites, sensors, space structures, and manufactures long-range missiles and rocket motors.
Executives
Mark A Caylor officer: Corp VP & Pres ESS 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Kathryn G Simpson officer: Corp VP & General Counsel 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Robert J. Fleming officer: CVP and Pres. Space Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Roshan S Roeder officer: CVP & Pres. Defense Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Mary A Winston director 557 BROADWAY, C/O SCHOLASTIC CORP, NEW YORK NY 10012
Kimberly A. Ross director C/O AVON PRODUCTS,INC., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS`, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
David T Perry officer: CVP Chief Global Bus Dev Off 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Lucy C Ryan officer: Corp VP, Communications 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Michael A Hardesty officer: Corp VP, Controller & CAO 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Thomas H Jones officer: CVP & Pres Aeronautics Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Mary D Petryszyn officer: CVP, Pres, Defense Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Sheila C. Cheston officer: Corp. VP & General Counsel C/O NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION, 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Stephen F. O'bryan officer: CVP Global Bus Dev Officer 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Arvind Krishna director IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
Wilson Thomas L Jr officer: CVP and Pres. Space Systems 2980 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042