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Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (NSE:GSFC) Beneish M-Score : -1.48 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.48 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:GSFC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.09   Med: -2.26   Max: -1.33
Current: -1.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals was -1.33. The lowest was -5.09. And the median was -2.26.


Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Beneish M-Score Chart

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.37 -3.17 -2.15 -1.48

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.48 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4827+0.528 * 1.0596+0.404 * 0.9133+0.892 * 1.2514+0.115 * 0.8739
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * 0.024589-0.327 * 0.8
=-1.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹24,061 Mil.
Revenue was ₹113,687 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹44,257 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹53,732 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹139,093 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹27,774 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,850 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹10,808 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹15 Mil.
Net Income was ₹12,659 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹9,239 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹12,968 Mil.
Revenue was ₹90,848 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹37,475 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹45,722 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹141,247 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹31,491 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,818 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹2,900 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹13,738 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(24060.9 / 113686.9) / (12968.027 / 90847.9)
=0.211642 / 0.142744
=1.4827

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(37475 / 90847.9) / (44257.4 / 113686.9)
=0.412503 / 0.389292
=1.0596

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (53731.6 + 27773.8) / 139092.5) / (1 - (45722.227 + 31491.366) / 141246.871)
=0.41402 / 0.453343
=0.9133

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=113686.9 / 90847.9
=1.2514

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1817.8 / (1817.8 + 31491.366)) / (1850 / (1850 + 27773.8))
=0.054574 / 0.06245
=0.8739

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 113686.9) / (2900.225 / 90847.9)
=0 / 0.031924
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14.8 + 10808.4) / 139092.5) / ((0 + 13738.27) / 141246.871)
=0.077813 / 0.097264
=0.8

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12659.2 - 0 - 9239.1) / 139092.5
=0.024589

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals has a M-score of -1.48 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (NSE:GSFC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
P.O. Fertilizernagar, Vadodara, GJ, IND, 391750
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd is a manufacturer of fertilizers and chemicals. It is structured into two operating business segments: Fertilizer Products and Industrial Products. The company operates mainly in the Indian market and there are no reportable geographical segments. It derives the majority of its revenue from the Fertilizer products segment. The products and services covered under its Fertilizer segment include Urea, Ammonium Sulphate, Di-ammonium Phosphate, Ammonium Phosphate Sulphate, and traded fertilizer products. The Industrial Products consist of Caprolactam, Nylon-6, Nylon Filament Yarn, Nylon Chips, Melamine, Methanol, and Polymer products.

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (NSE:GSFC) Headlines

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