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Astral (NSE:ASTRAL) Beneish M-Score : -2.20 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Astral Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astral's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:ASTRAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -2.6   Max: 2.65
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Astral was 2.65. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -2.60.


Astral Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Astral's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Astral Beneish M-Score Chart

Astral Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -3.18 -2.74 -2.48 -2.20

Astral Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.20 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Astral's Beneish M-Score

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Astral's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astral's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Astral's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astral's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Astral Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Astral for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1376+0.528 * 1.0031+0.404 * 1.3837+0.892 * 1.1736+0.115 * 0.8558
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0519+4.679 * -0.022936-0.327 * 1.0818
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹3,829 Mil.
Revenue was ₹51,451 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹16,211 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹22,492 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹43,731 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹15,828 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,781 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹1,858 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹13,337 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹365 Mil.
Net Income was ₹4,566 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹5,569 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹2,868 Mil.
Revenue was ₹43,839 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹13,856 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹17,451 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹33,872 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹13,392 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,269 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹1,505 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹9,409 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹401 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3829 / 51451) / (2868 / 43839)
=0.07442 / 0.065421
=1.1376

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13856 / 43839) / (16211 / 51451)
=0.316066 / 0.315076
=1.0031

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22492 + 15828) / 43731) / (1 - (17451 + 13392) / 33872)
=0.123734 / 0.089425
=1.3837

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=51451 / 43839
=1.1736

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1269 / (1269 + 13392)) / (1781 / (1781 + 15828))
=0.086556 / 0.101141
=0.8558

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1858 / 51451) / (1505 / 43839)
=0.036112 / 0.03433
=1.0519

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((365 + 13337) / 43731) / ((401 + 9409) / 33872)
=0.313325 / 0.28962
=1.0818

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4566 - 0 - 5569) / 43731
=-0.022936

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Astral has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Astral (NSE:ASTRAL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Off. S.G. Highway, Astral House, 207/1, Behind Rajpath Club, Ahmedabad, GJ, IND, 380059
Astral Ltd manufactures plumbing systems, drainage systems, agriculture, industrial and electrical conduit pipes with various types of fittings. Operations are divided into two business segment units: Plumbing, and Paints and Adhesives. Astral's list of clients includes hospitals, resorts, parks, stadiums, government facilities, and a host of other industries. The majority of the company's products are utilized across India. Pipes and systems are sold under several brand names and can be built to withstand many conditions imposed by a system's environment and meet several requirements and regulations.

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