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Alpex Solar (NSE:ALPEXSOLAR) Beneish M-Score : -2.12 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Alpex Solar Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.12 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:ALPEXSOLAR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.12   Med: -2.12   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.12

During the past 3 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alpex Solar was -2.12. The lowest was -2.12. And the median was -2.12.


Alpex Solar Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alpex Solar Beneish M-Score Chart

Alpex Solar Annual Data
Trend Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.12

Alpex Solar Quarterly Data
Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score - - -2.12 -

Competitive Comparison of Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score

For the Solar subindustry, Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpex Solar's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alpex Solar Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alpex Solar for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9496+0.528 * 0.8468+0.404 * 0.7413+0.892 * 1.1759+0.115 * 1.412
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9284+4.679 * 0.084684-0.327 * 1.0794
=-2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹191 Mil.
Revenue was ₹1,947 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹262 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹1,000 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,256 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹215 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹53 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹750 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹85 Mil.
Net Income was ₹38 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹-69 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹171 Mil.
Revenue was ₹1,656 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹189 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹770 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,000 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹186 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹26 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹48 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹494 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹121 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(190.983 / 1946.802) / (171.041 / 1655.613)
=0.098101 / 0.10331
=0.9496

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(188.576 / 1655.613) / (261.871 / 1946.802)
=0.113901 / 0.134513
=0.8468

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (999.675 + 214.802) / 1255.963) / (1 - (769.667 + 186.134) / 1000.376)
=0.033031 / 0.044558
=0.7413

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1946.802 / 1655.613
=1.1759

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(26.118 / (26.118 + 186.134)) / (20.506 / (20.506 + 214.802))
=0.123052 / 0.087145
=1.412

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(52.694 / 1946.802) / (48.27 / 1655.613)
=0.027067 / 0.029155
=0.9284

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((84.509 + 750.139) / 1255.963) / ((121.398 + 494.477) / 1000.376)
=0.664548 / 0.615644
=1.0794

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(37.858 - 0 - -68.502) / 1255.963
=0.084684

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alpex Solar has a M-score of -2.12 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alpex Solar Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alpex Solar (NSE:ALPEXSOLAR) Business Description

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Alpex Solar Ltd is a solar photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturer in India. Its PV modules are manufactured using both monocrystalline and polycrystalline cell technologies. Company portfolio of solar energy products consists of bifacial, mono perc, Halfcut solar PV modules and also provide integrated solar energy solutions, including engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) of AC/DC Solar Pumps in both Surface and Submersible categories.

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