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Air France-KLM (MIL:1AF) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1AF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.99   Med: -2.92   Max: 1872.25
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air France-KLM was 1872.25. The lowest was -3.99. And the median was -2.92.


Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Chart

Air France-KLM Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 1,872.25 -3.55 -2.70 -2.71

Air France-KLM Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.64 -2.82 -2.71 -2.54

Competitive Comparison of Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air France-KLM for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0995+0.528 * 0.7327+0.404 * 1.0334+0.892 * 1.0731+0.115 * 1.0715
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9883+4.679 * -0.03881-0.327 * 0.7476
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,492 Mil.
Revenue was 6654 + 7407 + 8659 + 7624 = €30,344 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1053 + 2149 + 4347 + 2208 = €9,757 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €11,628 Mil.
Total Assets was €34,733 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €18,986 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,703 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,050 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €17,586 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,563 Mil.
Net Income was -522 + -256 + 930 + 604 = €756 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 769 + -310 + 589 + 1056 = €2,104 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,112 Mil.
Revenue was 6329 + 7129 + 8112 + 6707 = €28,277 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1078 + 2192 + 2133 + 1259 = €6,662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €10,734 Mil.
Total Assets was €32,041 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €17,630 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,717 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €990 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €15,904 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €10,194 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2492 / 30344) / (2112 / 28277)
=0.082125 / 0.07469
=1.0995

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6662 / 28277) / (9757 / 30344)
=0.235598 / 0.321546
=0.7327

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11628 + 18986) / 34733) / (1 - (10734 + 17630) / 32041)
=0.11859 / 0.114759
=1.0334

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=30344 / 28277
=1.0731

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2717 / (2717 + 17630)) / (2703 / (2703 + 18986))
=0.133533 / 0.124625
=1.0715

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1050 / 30344) / (990 / 28277)
=0.034603 / 0.035011
=0.9883

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3563 + 17586) / 34733) / ((10194 + 15904) / 32041)
=0.608902 / 0.814519
=0.7476

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(756 - 0 - 2104) / 34733
=-0.03881

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air France-KLM has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Air France-KLM (MIL:1AF) Business Description

Address
2 Rue Robert Esnault-Pelterie, Paris, FRA, 75007
Air France-KLM is a European airline group engaged in businesses that include passenger and cargo transportation, low-cost operations, and aircraft maintenance. The Group has four segments which include Network, Maintenance, Transavia, and Other. The Network segment derives key revenue which includes the passenger and cargo network, mainly coming from passenger transportation services on scheduled flights with the group's airline code. Its geographic markets include France, Benelux, Europe, and the rest of the world, with the majority of revenue coming from France, including its overseas division.

Air France-KLM (MIL:1AF) Headlines

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