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Watkin Jones (LSE:WJG) Beneish M-Score : -1.90 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Watkin Jones Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:WJG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.34   Med: -2.1   Max: -0.99
Current: -1.9

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Watkin Jones was -0.99. The lowest was -3.34. And the median was -2.10.


Watkin Jones Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Watkin Jones Beneish M-Score Chart

Watkin Jones Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.10 -2.10 -2.87 -0.99 -1.90

Watkin Jones Semi-Annual Data
Sep13 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 - -0.99 - -1.90

Competitive Comparison of Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watkin Jones's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Watkin Jones Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Watkin Jones for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2882+0.528 * 1.9693+0.404 * 1.2916+0.892 * 1.0151+0.115 * 1.1198
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.6404+4.679 * -0.002818-0.327 * 1.1326
=-1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was £98.8 Mil.
Revenue was £413.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was £34.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £311.4 Mil.
Total Assets was £371.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £7.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £6.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £34.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £134.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £66.2 Mil.
Net Income was £-32.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £-31.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was £75.6 Mil.
Revenue was £407.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was £67.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £337.4 Mil.
Total Assets was £387.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £6.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £8.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £12.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £113.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £71.1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(98.808 / 413.236) / (75.562 / 407.076)
=0.239108 / 0.185621
=1.2882

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(67.626 / 407.076) / (34.859 / 413.236)
=0.166126 / 0.084356
=1.9693

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (311.365 + 7.072) / 371.516) / (1 - (337.408 + 6.747) / 386.959)
=0.142871 / 0.110616
=1.2916

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=413.236 / 407.076
=1.0151

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.411 / (8.411 + 6.747)) / (6.947 / (6.947 + 7.072))
=0.554889 / 0.495542
=1.1198

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(34.689 / 413.236) / (12.942 / 407.076)
=0.083945 / 0.031793
=2.6404

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((66.158 + 134.216) / 371.516) / ((71.139 + 113.132) / 386.959)
=0.539342 / 0.476203
=1.1326

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-32.547 - 0 - -31.5) / 371.516
=-0.002818

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Watkin Jones has a M-score of -1.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Watkin Jones Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Watkin Jones (LSE:WJG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7-9 Swallow Street, London, GBR, W1B 4DE
Watkin Jones PLC is a developer and constructor of multi-occupancy property assets, with a focus on the student accommodation sector. Its service includes site identification and procurement, planning consent, construction delivery, and asset management. The company's operating segments include Student accommodation, Build to Rent, Affordable Homes, and Accommodation management. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Student accommodation and build-to-rent segments.

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