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Engro Fertilizers (KAR:EFERT) Beneish M-Score : -2.90 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Engro Fertilizers Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:EFERT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.25   Med: -2.56   Max: 8.49
Current: -2.9

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Engro Fertilizers was 8.49. The lowest was -4.25. And the median was -2.56.


Engro Fertilizers Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Engro Fertilizers Beneish M-Score Chart

Engro Fertilizers Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -4.25 -1.38 -3.01 -3.68

Engro Fertilizers Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -2.74 -3.50 -3.68 -2.90

Competitive Comparison of Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Engro Fertilizers's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Engro Fertilizers Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Engro Fertilizers for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8413+0.528 * 0.7856+0.404 * 0.6159+0.892 * 1.5439+0.115 * 0.8537
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0627+4.679 * -0.095276-0.327 * 1.0554
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨30,922 Mil.
Revenue was 73783.443 + 75173.873 + 66164.543 + 38375.077 = ₨253,497 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22517.654 + 29109.274 + 20988.821 + 11424.057 = ₨84,040 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨75,214 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨160,496 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨79,683 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨4,222 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨15,523 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨101,687 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨3,271 Mil.
Net Income was 10783.85 + 11146.572 + 9580.653 + 1059.669 = ₨32,571 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1987.742 + 15769.702 + 38079.642 + -3999.543 = ₨47,862 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨23,807 Mil.
Revenue was 43991.099 + 46141.357 + 35739.302 + 38323.193 = ₨164,195 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10775.076 + 10543.43 + 9752.03 + 11690.702 = ₨42,761 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨53,398 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨140,091 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨78,759 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨3,535 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨9,461 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨80,476 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨6,328 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(30921.712 / 253496.936) / (23806.646 / 164194.951)
=0.121981 / 0.14499
=0.8413

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(42761.238 / 164194.951) / (84039.806 / 253496.936)
=0.26043 / 0.331522
=0.7856

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (75214.184 + 79683.371) / 160495.554) / (1 - (53398.42 + 78758.897) / 140090.743)
=0.034879 / 0.056631
=0.6159

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=253496.936 / 164194.951
=1.5439

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3535.056 / (3535.056 + 78758.897)) / (4221.794 / (4221.794 + 79683.371))
=0.042956 / 0.050316
=0.8537

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15523.232 / 253496.936) / (9461.435 / 164194.951)
=0.061236 / 0.057623
=1.0627

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3271.481 + 101687.14) / 160495.554) / ((6327.518 + 80476.205) / 140090.743)
=0.653966 / 0.619625
=1.0554

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(32570.744 - 0 - 47862.059) / 160495.554
=-0.095276

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Engro Fertilizers has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Engro Fertilizers Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Engro Fertilizers (KAR:EFERT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Plot No HC No-3, Marine Drive, Block 4, 7th & 8th Floor, The Harbor Front Building, Scheme Number 5, Clifton, Karachi, SD, PAK, 75600
Engro Fertilizers Ltd is a Pakistan-based company mainly involved in the manufacturing, purchasing, and marketing of fertilizers, seeds, and pesticides and providing logistics services. It operates in five segments: Urea, Phosphates, Specialty Fertilizers Business, Crop Sciences division, and E-logistics. The company offers different ranges of products under brand names such as Engro Urea, Engro DAP, Engro NP, Engro Envy, Engro Zarkhez, Engro MOP, and Zingro.

Engro Fertilizers (KAR:EFERT) Headlines

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