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Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Beneish M-Score : -2.37 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:OCT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.53   Med: -2.31   Max: -0.63
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Octodec Investments was -0.63. The lowest was -2.53. And the median was -2.31.


Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Chart

Octodec Investments Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.53 -2.26 -2.52 -2.37

Octodec Investments Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.52 - -2.37 -

Competitive Comparison of Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Octodec Investments for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8744+0.528 * 1.0294+0.404 * 0.9932+0.892 * 1.0213+0.115 * 1.0494
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2102+4.679 * 0.046644-0.327 * 0.9772
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug23) TTM:Last Year (Aug22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R140.6 Mil.
Revenue was R1,927.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was R952.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R343.5 Mil.
Total Assets was R11,490.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R1.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R9.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R92.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R696.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R4,079.4 Mil.
Net Income was R610.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R74.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was R157.5 Mil.
Revenue was R1,887.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was R959.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R262.0 Mil.
Total Assets was R11,244.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R0.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R9.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R74.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R955.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R3,827.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(140.622 / 1927.654) / (157.468 / 1887.37)
=0.07295 / 0.083433
=0.8744

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(959.596 / 1887.37) / (952.057 / 1927.654)
=0.50843 / 0.493894
=1.0294

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (343.542 + 1.536) / 11490.519) / (1 - (261.999 + 0.939) / 11244.676)
=0.969968 / 0.976617
=0.9932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1927.654 / 1887.37
=1.0213

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.109 / (9.109 + 0.939)) / (9.749 / (9.749 + 1.536))
=0.906549 / 0.86389
=1.0494

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(92.552 / 1927.654) / (74.882 / 1887.37)
=0.048013 / 0.039675
=1.2102

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4079.394 + 696.364) / 11490.519) / ((3827.531 + 955.162) / 11244.676)
=0.415626 / 0.42533
=0.9772

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(610.463 - 0 - 74.501) / 11490.519
=0.046644

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Octodec Investments has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 Du Toit Street, CPA House, Tshwane, Pretoria, GT, ZAF, 0002
Octodec Investments Ltd is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company generates rental income from Residential, Retail - street shops, Retail - shopping centres, offices, industrial, and parking, where the majority of its revenue is from the Residential segment.

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