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KAP (JSE:KAP) Beneish M-Score : -2.68 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is KAP Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for KAP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:KAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.66   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KAP was -1.95. The lowest was -3.66. And the median was -2.61.


KAP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for KAP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KAP Beneish M-Score Chart

KAP Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -3.66 -2.74 -2.49 -2.68

KAP Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.49 - -2.68 -

Competitive Comparison of KAP's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, KAP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KAP's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, KAP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KAP's Beneish M-Score falls into.



KAP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KAP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9315+0.528 * 1.1853+0.404 * 0.884+0.892 * 1.0589+0.115 * 0.9979
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.057+4.679 * -0.048393-0.327 * 1.0218
=-2.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R4,213 Mil.
Revenue was R29,628 Mil.
Gross Profit was R4,926 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R9,968 Mil.
Total Assets was R29,777 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R15,484 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,497 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R3,161 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R8,337 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R7,172 Mil.
Net Income was R414 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R1,855 Mil.
Total Receivables was R4,271 Mil.
Revenue was R27,979 Mil.
Gross Profit was R5,514 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R10,101 Mil.
Total Assets was R29,505 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R14,556 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R2,824 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R7,986 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R7,053 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4213 / 29628) / (4271 / 27979)
=0.142197 / 0.15265
=0.9315

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5514 / 27979) / (4926 / 29628)
=0.197076 / 0.166262
=1.1853

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9968 + 15484) / 29777) / (1 - (10101 + 14556) / 29505)
=0.145246 / 0.164311
=0.884

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=29628 / 27979
=1.0589

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1404 / (1404 + 14556)) / (1497 / (1497 + 15484))
=0.08797 / 0.088157
=0.9979

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3161 / 29628) / (2824 / 27979)
=0.10669 / 0.100933
=1.057

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7172 + 8337) / 29777) / ((7053 + 7986) / 29505)
=0.520838 / 0.50971
=1.0218

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(414 - 0 - 1855) / 29777
=-0.048393

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KAP has a M-score of -2.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


KAP (JSE:KAP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Corner R44 and School Road, Unit G7, Stellenpark Business Park, Jamestown, Stellenbosch, WC, ZAF, 7600
KAP Ltd is a diversified group consisting of leading industrial, chemical, and logistics businesses, and road safety segments in sub-Saharan Africa. The group owns a diversified portfolio of businesses that operate in the following industries: wood-based decorative panels, sleep products, automotive components, polymers, supply chain, and road safety.

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