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Capitec Bank Holdings (JSE:CPI) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Capitec Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Capitec Bank Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:CPI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Capitec Bank Holdings was -2.23. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.64.


Capitec Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Capitec Bank Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.001+0.892 * 1.2115+0.115 * 0.905
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.017919-0.327 * 1.0462
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R0 Mil.
Revenue was R36,043 Mil.
Gross Profit was R36,043 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R0 Mil.
Total Assets was R207,579 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R5,368 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,367 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R5,404 Mil.
Net Income was R10,567 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R14,286 Mil.
Total Receivables was R0 Mil.
Revenue was R29,752 Mil.
Gross Profit was R29,752 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R0 Mil.
Total Assets was R190,636 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R5,113 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,151 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R4,744 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 36042.839) / (0 / 29751.62)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(29751.62 / 29751.62) / (36042.839 / 36042.839)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 5367.945) / 207578.626) / (1 - (0 + 5113.333) / 190636.055)
=0.97414 / 0.973178
=1.001

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36042.839 / 29751.62
=1.2115

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1150.938 / (1150.938 + 5113.333)) / (1367.406 / (1367.406 + 5367.945))
=0.183731 / 0.203019
=0.905

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 36042.839) / (0 / 29751.62)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5404.017 + 0) / 207578.626) / ((4743.856 + 0) / 190636.055)
=0.026034 / 0.024884
=1.0462

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10566.937 - 0 - 14286.45) / 207578.626
=-0.017919

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Capitec Bank Holdings has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Capitec Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Capitec Bank Holdings (JSE:CPI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 Neutron Road, Techno Park, Stellenbosch, WC, ZAF, 7600
Capitec Bank Holdings Ltd is a retail bank with more than 850 branches in South Africa. Its services focus on three customer needs: saving, which provides customers the ability to receive and store funds; credit, which satisfies customer needs to access and borrow funds; and transacting, which allows for payments and movement of funds. It operates in three segments: -Retail bank, Business bank, and the Insurance business. Net interest income accounts for more than two-thirds of total company revenue. The company also generates revenue from fees on loans and transactions. Roughly a third of the company's loans are mortgages, and another third are other secured loans. Credit facilities and unsecured credit loans make up most of the remaining loans outstanding.