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PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk (ISX:INDR) Beneish M-Score : -4.07 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:INDR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.26   Med: -2.46   Max: 4.97
Current: -4.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk was 4.97. The lowest was -15.26. And the median was -2.46.


PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.32 -1.91 -2.16 -5.01

PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.30 -15.26 -5.50 -5.01 -4.07

Competitive Comparison of PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Textile Manufacturing subindustry, PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.13+0.528 * -1.3328+0.404 * 1.2365+0.892 * 0.9295+0.115 * 0.8752
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0854+4.679 * -0.092931-0.327 * 1.1309
=-4.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp1,409,145 Mil.
Revenue was 3402140.048 + 2882451.513 + 3103119.018 + 2901506.056 = Rp12,289,217 Mil.
Gross Profit was -14352.289 + -58842.845 + -126397.146 + -205645.87 = Rp-405,238 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp4,532,225 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp12,298,725 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp7,669,472 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp17,615 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp227,137 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp4,404,842 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp982,692 Mil.
Net Income was -116961.138 + -128261.061 + -231057.895 + -265524.49 = Rp-741,805 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 98184.459 + -254564.29 + 294341.861 + 263165.408 = Rp401,127 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp1,341,573 Mil.
Revenue was 3097577.728 + 2825903.314 + 3677620.615 + 3619914.743 = Rp13,221,016 Mil.
Gross Profit was 68185.721 + -133524.832 + 191197.301 + 455210.24 = Rp581,068 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp5,052,461 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp12,876,513 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp7,741,903 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp15,555 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp225,143 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp4,119,490 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp868,250 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1409145.075 / 12289216.635) / (1341573.257 / 13221016.4)
=0.114665 / 0.101473
=1.13

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(581068.43 / 13221016.4) / (-405238.15 / 12289216.635)
=0.04395 / -0.032975
=-1.3328

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4532224.821 + 7669471.864) / 12298724.943) / (1 - (5052460.982 + 7741903.416) / 12876512.602)
=0.007889 / 0.00638
=1.2365

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12289216.635 / 13221016.4
=0.9295

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(15555.024 / (15555.024 + 7741903.416)) / (17614.804 / (17614.804 + 7669471.864))
=0.002005 / 0.002291
=0.8752

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(227136.572 / 12289216.635) / (225143.022 / 13221016.4)
=0.018483 / 0.017029
=1.0854

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((982692.465 + 4404842.472) / 12298724.943) / ((868249.584 + 4119489.94) / 12876512.602)
=0.438056 / 0.387352
=1.1309

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-741804.584 - 0 - 401127.438) / 12298724.943
=-0.092931

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk has a M-score of -4.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk (ISX:INDR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan H. R. Rasuna Said, Blok X-1, Kav. 1-2, Graha Irama, 17th Floor, Jakarta, IDN, 12950
PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk manufactures polyester, fertilizers, and textiles. The company operates in segments that include Spun Yarns which manufactures spun yarn and sewing threads, Polyester which manufactures polyester yarns, polyester staple fiber, chips, and pet resin, Fabrics which manufactures polyester fabrics, and others which is engaged in trading, investment, and Other activities. The Spun Yarn and Polyester segment of the company generates maximum revenue for the company. Geographically the company exports its products to Europe, Asia, and North and South America.

PT Indo-Rama Synthetics Tbk (ISX:INDR) Headlines

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