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Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS (IST:HALKB) Beneish M-Score : -2.79 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:HALKB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.46   Max: 0.18
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS was 0.18. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.46.


Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9988+0.892 * 0.6706+0.115 * 0.6949
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.4102+4.679 * -0.051769-0.327 * 1.0561
=-3.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺0 Mil.
Revenue was 13525.135 + 16508.063 + 16213.381 + 14838.694 = ₺61,085 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13525.135 + 16508.063 + 16213.381 + 14838.694 = ₺61,085 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺2,522,897 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺33,384 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺2,421 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺2,128 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺219,272 Mil.
Net Income was 5508.806 + 6398.385 + 4120.536 + 1602.313 = ₺17,630 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 41989.254 + -83615.355 + 172245.767 + 17619.151 = ₺148,239 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺0 Mil.
Revenue was 20509.633 + 30441.304 + 25958.627 + 14175.504 = ₺91,085 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20509.633 + 30441.304 + 25958.627 + 14175.504 = ₺91,085 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺1,666,623 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺20,127 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺992 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺1,316 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺137,153 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 61085.273) / (0 / 91085.068)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(91085.068 / 91085.068) / (61085.273 / 61085.273)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 33383.788) / 2522897.427) / (1 - (0 + 20127.299) / 1666623.478)
=0.986768 / 0.987923
=0.9988

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=61085.273 / 91085.068
=0.6706

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(992.342 / (992.342 + 20127.299)) / (2420.974 / (2420.974 + 33383.788))
=0.046987 / 0.067616
=0.6949

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2127.892 / 61085.273) / (1316.491 / 91085.068)
=0.034835 / 0.014453
=2.4102

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((219272.316 + 0) / 2522897.427) / ((137153.269 + 0) / 1666623.478)
=0.086913 / 0.082294
=1.0561

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17630.04 - 0 - 148238.817) / 2522897.427
=-0.051769

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS has a M-score of -3.31 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


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Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS (IST:HALKB) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Barbaros Mahallesi, Sebboy Sokak No 4/1 34746, Atasehir, Istanbul, TUR, 34746
Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS is a bank operating in Turkey. The bank's controlling shareholder is the Privatization Administration of Turkey, a government agency. Halkbank's strategic focus since its founding is customer service and small to midsize enterprise banking, with a significant portion of its total loan portfolio dedicated to this segment. Halkbank specifically offers loans and products tailored for SMEs. Net interest income constitutes a majority of the bank's net revenue, of which its SME segment is the majority contributor. A significant portion of its nonperforming loans come from the manufacturing industry.