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Alarko Holding AS (IST:ALARK) Beneish M-Score : -1.45 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Alarko Holding AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.45 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ALARK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -1.74   Max: 11.32
Current: -1.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alarko Holding AS was 11.32. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -1.74.


Alarko Holding AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alarko Holding AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Alarko Holding AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.36 -2.03 11.32 2.84 -1.45

Alarko Holding AS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.84 2.64 1.28 0.76 -1.45

Competitive Comparison of Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alarko Holding AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alarko Holding AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alarko Holding AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.8014+0.528 * 1.6307+0.404 * 0.9807+0.892 * 0.676+0.115 * 1.3081
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5832+4.679 * 0.065223-0.327 * 0.9554
=-1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺3,306 Mil.
Revenue was 2223.664 + 2868.869 + 1812.6 + 1391.095 = ₺8,296 Mil.
Gross Profit was -33.673 + 377.015 + 97.889 + 246.912 = ₺688 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺15,705 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺59,359 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺7,171 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺417 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺333 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺13,165 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺572 Mil.
Net Income was -2269.509 + 3969.955 + 3089.517 + 1835.359 = ₺6,625 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1519.067 + -528.884 + 1847.587 + -83.988 = ₺2,754 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺2,715 Mil.
Revenue was 7199.703 + 2334.78 + 1757.392 + 980.002 = ₺12,272 Mil.
Gross Profit was 699.561 + 315.629 + 401.979 + 242.779 = ₺1,660 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺14,787 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺51,832 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺4,561 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺354 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺311 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺12,323 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺232 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3305.706 / 8296.228) / (2714.543 / 12271.877)
=0.398459 / 0.2212
=1.8014

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1659.948 / 12271.877) / (688.143 / 8296.228)
=0.135264 / 0.082946
=1.6307

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (15705.122 + 7170.947) / 59358.898) / (1 - (14786.673 + 4561.199) / 51831.924)
=0.614614 / 0.626719
=0.9807

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8296.228 / 12271.877
=0.676

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(353.677 / (353.677 + 4561.199)) / (417.464 / (417.464 + 7170.947))
=0.071961 / 0.055013
=1.3081

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(332.842 / 8296.228) / (310.987 / 12271.877)
=0.04012 / 0.025341
=1.5832

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((571.759 + 13165.434) / 59358.898) / ((231.898 + 12322.881) / 51831.924)
=0.231426 / 0.242221
=0.9554

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6625.322 - 0 - 2753.782) / 59358.898
=0.065223

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alarko Holding AS has a M-score of -1.45 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Alarko Holding AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alarko Holding AS (IST:ALARK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Muallim Naci Caddesi No. 69, Ortakoy, Istanbul, TUR, 34347
Alarko Holding AS is a holding company consisting of companies that operate in contracting, construction, land development, industry, trade, tourism, and energy. The company's segments include holding, tourism, industry and merchandising, energy, contracting/land development. Its contracting group operates as a general contractor in Turkey and abroad and carries out airport and rail system projects, large scale infrastructure works, constructions of industrial plants, hospitals, and other such projects. The majority of the revenue is derived from the contracting and land development segment.

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