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Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings (HKSE:03366) Beneish M-Score : 0.04 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.04 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03366' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.61   Med: -2.26   Max: 9.54
Current: 0.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings was 9.54. The lowest was -3.61. And the median was -2.26.


Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -1.76 -2.83 -2.08 0.04

Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 - -2.08 - 0.04

Competitive Comparison of Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 4.719+0.528 * 0.9519+0.404 * 0.8974+0.892 * 0.4026+0.115 * 0.5176
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8732+4.679 * 0.016112-0.327 * 1.518
=0.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$127 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,381 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$152 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$20,529 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$25,082 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$815 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$138 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$308 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$13,000 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$8,254 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-508 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-912 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$67 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,431 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$360 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$18,680 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$25,434 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,531 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$206 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$408 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,589 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,609 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(127.153 / 1381.173) / (66.938 / 3431.051)
=0.092062 / 0.019509
=4.719

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(359.936 / 3431.051) / (152.217 / 1381.173)
=0.104905 / 0.110208
=0.9519

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20529.084 + 815.455) / 25082.105) / (1 - (18679.861 + 2530.931) / 25434.338)
=0.149013 / 0.166057
=0.8974

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1381.173 / 3431.051
=0.4026

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(205.604 / (205.604 + 2530.931)) / (138.459 / (138.459 + 815.455))
=0.075133 / 0.145148
=0.5176

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(307.601 / 1381.173) / (407.933 / 3431.051)
=0.22271 / 0.118894
=1.8732

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8253.968 + 13000.066) / 25082.105) / ((2609.202 + 11588.992) / 25434.338)
=0.847378 / 0.558229
=1.518

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-508.091 - 0 - -912.207) / 25082.105
=0.016112

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings has a M-score of 0.04 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings (HKSE:03366) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Garden Road, 59th Floor, Bank of China Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It operates its business through three segments. The Comprehensive Development Business segment which drives the majority of revenue is engaged in the development and operation of the tourism theme park, the development, and sales of residential properties, and the development and management of properties; Equity investment and fund business segment engage in the investment in new urbanization industrial ecospheres, such as domestic and overseas direct investments, industrial funds, and education. The Finance lease business segment engages in the finance lease business. It generates the majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Pacific Climax Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shen Zhen Hua Qiao Cheng Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hua Qiao Cheng Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xiang Gang Hua Qiao Cheng You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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