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Greentown Service Group Co (HKSE:02869) Beneish M-Score : -2.69 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Greentown Service Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02869' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.61   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.69

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greentown Service Group Co was -1.34. The lowest was -3.61. And the median was -2.32.


Greentown Service Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greentown Service Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Greentown Service Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.41 -2.04 -1.94 -2.69

Greentown Service Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 - -1.94 - -2.69

Competitive Comparison of Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greentown Service Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Greentown Service Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greentown Service Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9346+0.528 * 0.9652+0.404 * 0.8957+0.892 * 1.1467+0.115 * 0.9608
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9722+4.679 * -0.045941-0.327 * 1.0248
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$5,518 Mil.
Revenue was HK$19,024 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$3,187 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$13,248 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$19,777 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,159 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$530 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,769 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$9,360 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,261 Mil.
Net Income was HK$662 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,571 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$5,148 Mil.
Revenue was HK$16,590 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,682 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$12,106 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$18,821 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,071 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$484 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,587 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$8,250 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,613 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5517.932 / 19024.394) / (5148.497 / 16590.297)
=0.290045 / 0.310332
=0.9346

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2682.296 / 16590.297) / (3186.6 / 19024.394)
=0.161679 / 0.167501
=0.9652

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13247.535 + 2158.945) / 19777.348) / (1 - (12105.852 + 2071.349) / 18820.766)
=0.221004 / 0.246726
=0.8957

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19024.394 / 16590.297
=1.1467

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(483.897 / (483.897 + 2071.349)) / (529.993 / (529.993 + 2158.945))
=0.189374 / 0.197101
=0.9608

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1769.091 / 19024.394) / (1586.903 / 16590.297)
=0.092991 / 0.095652
=0.9722

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1261.105 + 9360.04) / 19777.348) / ((1612.811 + 8249.701) / 18820.766)
=0.537036 / 0.524023
=1.0248

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(662.145 - 0 - 1570.745) / 19777.348
=-0.045941

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greentown Service Group Co has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Greentown Service Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Greentown Service Group Co (HKSE:02869) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.767 West Wenyi Road, Block B, Xixi International Business Center, Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, CHN
Greentown Service Group, or GSG, is the sister company of property developer Greentown China. GSG is one of the first China property management firms listed in Hong Kong since July 2016. Headquartered in Hangzhou, GSG is a leading service provider in the Yangtze River Delta focusing on high-end residential properties, with core property management contributing to more than 60% of GSG's revenue. Other key earnings contributors include community value added services and project consultancy services to developers. The founding shareholders, who also control Greentown China, collectively own over a 40% stake in GSG in 2022. China property developer Longfor Group holds around 9% equity interest in GSG.

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