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Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) (HKSE:02451) Beneish M-Score : -2.90 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02451' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -3.01   Max: -2.9
Current: -2.9

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) was -2.90. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -3.01.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Beneish M-Score Chart

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -3.11 -2.90

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score - - -3.11 -2.90

Competitive Comparison of Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Beneish M-Score falls into.



Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6845+0.528 * 0.8757+0.404 * 0.9706+0.892 * 1.0409+0.115 * 0.9301
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1214+4.679 * -0.029778-0.327 * 0.7658
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$233 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,560 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$745 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,877 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,225 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,080 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$100 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$454 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,001 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$527 Mil.
Net Income was HK$159 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$285 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$328 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,341 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$627 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,343 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$981 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$84 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$389 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,362 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$415 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(233.446 / 5559.658) / (327.661 / 5341.272)
=0.041989 / 0.061345
=0.6845

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(626.848 / 5341.272) / (745.125 / 5559.658)
=0.117359 / 0.134024
=0.8757

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2877.389 + 1080.376) / 4224.7) / (1 - (2342.828 + 981.325) / 3555.62)
=0.063184 / 0.065099
=0.9706

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5559.658 / 5341.272
=1.0409

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(84.213 / (84.213 + 981.325)) / (100.328 / (100.328 + 1080.376))
=0.079033 / 0.084973
=0.9301

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(454.43 / 5559.658) / (389.316 / 5341.272)
=0.081737 / 0.072888
=1.1214

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((526.523 + 2000.612) / 4224.7) / ((415.456 + 2362.006) / 3555.62)
=0.598181 / 0.781147
=0.7658

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(159.262 - 0 - 285.067) / 4224.7
=-0.029778

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) (HKSE:02451) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 168 Shicheng Street, Jinhua Industry Zone, Zhejiang, Jinhua, CHN
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Ltd is an electric two-wheeled vehicle provider in mainland China, focusing on the design, research and development, manufacturing and selling of electric two-wheeled vehicles. It has built an offline sales and distribution network and embraced informatization and established online retail channels, continuously improving the penetration and coverage of its products.
Executives
Dingman David Ross 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shipston Electric Vehicle Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shipston Evl Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shipston Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Stonor Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dingman David Ross 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hu Jihong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ni Jie 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apex Marine Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Drago Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner

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