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Harbour Centre Development (HKSE:00051) Beneish M-Score : -2.43 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Harbour Centre Development Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00051' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.52   Max: 0.91
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Harbour Centre Development was 0.91. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.52.


Harbour Centre Development Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harbour Centre Development Beneish M-Score Chart

Harbour Centre Development Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -1.38 -2.67 0.86 -2.43

Harbour Centre Development Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 - 0.86 - -2.43

Competitive Comparison of Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harbour Centre Development's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Harbour Centre Development Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Harbour Centre Development for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.763+0.528 * 0.8004+0.404 * 0.9841+0.892 * 1.3863+0.115 * 1.0801
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6996+4.679 * -0.022786-0.327 * 0.7644
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$110 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,579 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$847 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,653 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$16,896 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,764 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$214 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$225 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,681 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$504 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-107 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$278 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$104 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,139 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$489 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,582 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$18,849 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,655 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$228 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$232 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,608 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$581 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(110 / 1579) / (104 / 1139)
=0.069664 / 0.091308
=0.763

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(489 / 1139) / (847 / 1579)
=0.429324 / 0.536415
=0.8004

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1653 + 6764) / 16896) / (1 - (2582 + 6655) / 18849)
=0.501835 / 0.509947
=0.9841

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1579 / 1139
=1.3863

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(228 / (228 + 6655)) / (214 / (214 + 6764))
=0.033125 / 0.030668
=1.0801

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(225 / 1579) / (232 / 1139)
=0.142495 / 0.203687
=0.6996

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((504 + 1681) / 16896) / ((581 + 2608) / 18849)
=0.129321 / 0.169187
=0.7644

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-107 - 0 - 278) / 16896
=-0.022786

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Harbour Centre Development has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Harbour Centre Development Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Harbour Centre Development (HKSE:00051) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Canton Road, 16th Floor, Ocean Centre, Harbour City, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Harbour Centre Development Ltd has engaged in the acquisition, development, design, construction, sales, and marketing of properties in China. The operating business segments are investments, development property, investment property, and hotels. The Development property segment do activities relating to the acquisition, development, design, construction, sales, and marketing of properties in Mainland China. The Investment property segment represents the property leasing of the company's investment properties in Hong Kong. The Hotel segment represents the operations of Marco Polo Hongkong Hotel and Marco Polo Changzhou. It also includes The Murray, which is under construction. Its maximum revenue is driven by the Development property segment and from the Mainland China region.
Executives
Hsbc Trustee (c.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee
Wheelock And Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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