Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.981 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.999 | + | 0.892 * 1.3111 | + | 0.115 * 1.029 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.8839 | + | 4.679 * 0.053627 | - | 0.327 * 0.8808 |
| = | -1.91 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Mar24) TTM: | Last Year (Mar23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $1,055 Mil.
Revenue was 3494.211 + 2518.456 + 1947.071 + 2165.787 = $10,126 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3494.211 + 2518.456 + 1947.071 + 2165.787 = $10,126 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $23,065 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $490 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $146 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $477 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,989 Mil.
Net Income was 1250.666 + 101.343 + 76.577 + -2.507 = $1,426 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 42.904 + 236.86 + 34.961 + 45.731 = $360 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 41.757 + -487.728 + 130.486 + 144.193 = $-171 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $820 Mil.
Revenue was 1820.744 + 2621.647 + 1307.874 + 1972.646 = $7,723 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1820.744 + 2621.647 + 1307.874 + 1972.646 = $7,723 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,567 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $417 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $412 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,013 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1054.578 / 10125.525) | / | (819.881 / 7722.911) |
| = | 0.10415 | / | 0.106162 |
| | = | 0.981 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (7722.911 / 7722.911) | / | (10125.525 / 10125.525) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 489.848) / 23065.077) | / | (1 - (0 + 416.586) / 20567.017) |
| = | 0.978762 | / | 0.979745 |
| | = | 0.999 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 10125.525 | / | 7722.911 |
| | = | 1.3111 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (128.916 / (128.916 + 416.586)) | / | (146.048 / (146.048 + 489.848)) |
| = | 0.236325 | / | 0.229673 |
| | = | 1.029 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (477.07 / 10125.525) | / | (411.667 / 7722.911) |
| = | 0.047116 | / | 0.053305 |
| | = | 0.8839 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1988.763 + 0) / 23065.077) | / | ((2013.331 + 0) / 20567.017) |
| = | 0.086224 | / | 0.097891 |
| | = | 0.8808 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (1426.079 - 360.456 | - | -171.292) | / | 23065.077 |
| | = | 0.053627 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana has a M-score of -1.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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