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KeyCorp (FRA:KEY) Beneish M-Score : -2.50 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is KeyCorp Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for KeyCorp's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:KEY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.49   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KeyCorp was -2.27. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.49.


KeyCorp Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KeyCorp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0086+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.1561+0.892 * 0.861+0.115 * 1.0431
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1257+4.679 * -0.010363-0.327 * 0.7677
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,200 Mil.
Revenue was 1363.579 + 1424.24 + 1426.958 + 1552.308 = €5,767 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1363.579 + 1424.24 + 1426.958 + 1552.308 = €5,767 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €21,839 Mil.
Total Assets was €172,654 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €606 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €124 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,566 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,800 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €17,931 Mil.
Net Income was 59.605 + 283.911 + 264.901 + 291.408 = €900 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 950.929 + 530.342 + 537.186 + 670.612 = €2,689 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,685 Mil.
Revenue was 1721.856 + 1850.32 + 1639.418 + 1486.396 = €6,698 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1721.856 + 1850.32 + 1639.418 + 1486.396 = €6,698 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €43,745 Mil.
Total Assets was €179,183 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €600 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €130 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,648 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,799 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €18,226 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3200.33 / 5767.085) / (3685.376 / 6697.99)
=0.55493 / 0.550221
=1.0086

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6697.99 / 6697.99) / (5767.085 / 5767.085)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (21839.272 + 606.137) / 172653.677) / (1 - (43744.96 + 600.384) / 179183.472)
=0.869998 / 0.752514
=1.1561

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5767.085 / 6697.99
=0.861

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(129.672 / (129.672 + 600.384)) / (124.4 / (124.4 + 606.137))
=0.177619 / 0.170286
=1.0431

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2566.331 / 5767.085) / (2647.754 / 6697.99)
=0.444996 / 0.395306
=1.1257

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17931.018 + 2799.601) / 172653.677) / ((18225.808 + 9798.72) / 179183.472)
=0.120071 / 0.156401
=0.7677

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(899.825 - 0 - 2689.069) / 172653.677
=-0.010363

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KeyCorp has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


KeyCorp Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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KeyCorp (FRA:KEY) Business Description

Address
127 Public Square, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44114-1306
With assets of over $170 billion, Ohio-based KeyCorp's bank footprint spans 16 states, but it is predominantly concentrated in its two largest markets: Ohio and New York. KeyCorp is primarily focused on serving middle-market commercial clients through a hybrid community/corporate bank model.