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Dexia (FRA:DXBA) Beneish M-Score : -1.81 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Dexia Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dexia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:DXBA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.47   Med: -2.64   Max: -1.81
Current: -1.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dexia was -1.81. The lowest was -3.47. And the median was -2.64.


Dexia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dexia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 4.1689+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0001+0.892 * 0.1791+0.115 * 0.721
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 9.683+4.679 * 0.007891-0.327 * 1.0665
=-1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €168.00 Mil.
Revenue was €60.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was €60.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was €60,955.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €12.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €11.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €248.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €39,505.00 Mil.
Net Income was €-378.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €-859.00 Mil.
Total Receivables was €225.00 Mil.
Revenue was €335.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was €335.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.00 Mil.
Total Assets was €64,288.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €19.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €10.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €143.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €39,067.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(168 / 60) / (225 / 335)
=2.8 / 0.671642
=4.1689

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(335 / 335) / (60 / 60)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 12) / 60955) / (1 - (0 + 19) / 64288)
=0.999803 / 0.999704
=1.0001

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=60 / 335
=0.1791

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10 / (10 + 19)) / (11 / (11 + 12))
=0.344828 / 0.478261
=0.721

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(248 / 60) / (143 / 335)
=4.133333 / 0.426866
=9.683

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((39505 + 0) / 60955) / ((39067 + 0) / 64288)
=0.648101 / 0.607687
=1.0665

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-378 - 0 - -859) / 60955
=0.007891

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dexia has a M-score of -1.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Dexia (FRA:DXBA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Marsveldplein 5, BastionTower, Brussels, BEL, B-1050
Dexia SA is engaged in providing retail and commercial banking, public and wholesale banking, and asset management and investor services.