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Ball (FRA:BL8) Beneish M-Score : -1.51 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Ball Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.51 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ball's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:BL8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.95   Med: -2.6   Max: -1.49
Current: -1.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ball was -1.49. The lowest was -2.95. And the median was -2.60.


Ball Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ball's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ball Beneish M-Score Chart

Ball Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.61 -2.27 -2.28 -2.87

Ball Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.75 -2.95 -2.87 -1.51

Competitive Comparison of Ball's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Ball's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ball's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ball's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ball's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ball Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ball for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3724+0.528 * 0.8569+0.404 * 0.9757+0.892 * 0.8548+0.115 * 0.8572
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2569+4.679 * 0.174667-0.327 * 0.7407
=-1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,806 Mil.
Revenue was 2644.08 + 3120.551 + 3346.027 + 3291.418 = €12,402 Mil.
Gross Profit was 543.72 + 640.983 + 634.349 + 599.95 = €2,419 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,002 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,306 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,103 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €635 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €589 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,953 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,077 Mil.
Net Income was 3390.2 + 141.218 + 190.211 + 159.679 = €3,881 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -25.76 + -84.364 + -44.039 + 5.538 = €-149 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1147.24 + 674.912 + 717.742 + 587.028 = €832 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,392 Mil.
Revenue was 3258.726 + 3349.312 + 3990.51 + 3910.764 = €14,509 Mil.
Gross Profit was 601.496 + 488.992 + 682.76 + 651.794 = €2,425 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,144 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,782 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,118 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €625 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €549 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,743 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €7,150 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2806 / 12402.076) / (2391.974 / 14509.312)
=0.226252 / 0.164858
=1.3724

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2425.042 / 14509.312) / (2419.002 / 12402.076)
=0.167137 / 0.195048
=0.8569

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6002.08 + 6103.28) / 18306.16) / (1 - (5143.538 + 7118.014) / 18781.806)
=0.338728 / 0.347158
=0.9757

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12402.076 / 14509.312
=0.8548

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(625.47 / (625.47 + 7118.014)) / (634.96 / (634.96 + 6103.28))
=0.080774 / 0.094232
=0.8572

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(589.309 / 12402.076) / (548.53 / 14509.312)
=0.047517 / 0.037805
=1.2569

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5077.48 + 4953.28) / 18306.16) / ((7149.77 + 6743.48) / 18781.806)
=0.547945 / 0.739719
=0.7407

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3881.308 - -148.625 - 832.442) / 18306.16
=0.174667

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ball has a M-score of -1.51 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ball (FRA:BL8) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9200 West 108th Circle, Westminster, CO, USA, 80021
Ball is the world's largest metal can manufacturer with market share over 40% in its three main regions (North America, Europe, and South America). The company is focused on increasing capacity amid a wave of new developed-market demand, while also investing in faster-growing emerging-market economies. Ball maintains a small presence in the U.S. defense industry through its aerospace segment. Ball spun-off its glass jar business in 1993 and is now owned by Newell. The company reports four segments—beverage packaging, North and Central America (44% of revenue), beverage packaging, EMEA (25%), beverage packaging, South America (14%), aerospace (14%)—and it generated $15.3 billion in revenue in 2022.

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