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ERJ (Embraer) Beneish M-Score : -1.85 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Embraer Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Embraer's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ERJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.07
Current: -1.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Embraer was -1.07. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.47.


Embraer Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Embraer's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Embraer Beneish M-Score Chart

Embraer Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.42 -1.07 -2.56 -2.90 -2.43

Embraer Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.49 -2.43 -1.68 -1.85

Competitive Comparison of Embraer's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Embraer's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Embraer's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Embraer's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Embraer's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Embraer Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Embraer for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4708+0.528 * 1.1329+0.404 * 1.1071+0.892 * 0.791+0.115 * 1.464
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0049+4.679 * 0.028383-0.327 * 0.9547
=-1.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,079 Mil.
Revenue was 1494.2 + 896.6 + 0 + 1292.3 = $3,683 Mil.
Gross Profit was 240 + 168.7 + 0 + 223.3 = $632 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,825 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,876 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,944 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $157 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $384 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,878 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,616 Mil.
Net Income was 99.4 + 28.7 + 0 + -18.8 = $109 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -16.4 + 12.2 + 0 + 5 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -40.2 + -307.2 + 0 + 147.2 = $-200 Mil.
Total Receivables was $928 Mil.
Revenue was 716.7 + 1991.6 + 929 + 1018.9 = $4,656 Mil.
Gross Profit was 113.7 + 380.8 + 177.4 + 233.3 = $905 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,025 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,458 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,734 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $213 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $483 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,444 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,096 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1079.1 / 3683.1) / (927.5 / 4656.2)
=0.292987 / 0.199197
=1.4708

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(905.2 / 4656.2) / (632 / 3683.1)
=0.194407 / 0.171595
=1.1329

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5824.8 + 1943.7) / 10876.1) / (1 - (6025.1 + 1733.6) / 10457.7)
=0.285727 / 0.258087
=1.1071

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3683.1 / 4656.2
=0.791

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(213.4 / (213.4 + 1733.6)) / (157.3 / (157.3 + 1943.7))
=0.109605 / 0.074869
=1.464

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(384.1 / 3683.1) / (483.2 / 4656.2)
=0.104287 / 0.103776
=1.0049

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2615.6 + 3878.1) / 10876.1) / ((3096.2 + 3444.1) / 10457.7)
=0.597061 / 0.625405
=0.9547

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(109.3 - 0.8 - -200.2) / 10876.1
=0.028383

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Embraer has a M-score of -1.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Embraer Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Embraer Business Description

Address
Avenida Dra. Ruth Cardoso, 8501, 30th Floor, Pinheiros, SP, BRA, 05425-070
Embraer SA based in Sao Paulo, Brazil, manufacturer of jets. Its focus is to achieve customer satisfaction with and services addressing the commercial airline, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It has developed a customer-centric technology-driven portfolio of commercial aviation products and services that allows it to build long-term relationships with clients in the commercial aviation, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It operates through the following segments: Commercial Aviation; Defense and Security, Executive Aviation, Service and Support, and Other Segments. The company generates maximum revenue from the Commercial Aviation segment.