Cosi Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Cosi's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Cosi Beneish M-Score Chart
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Cosi Annual Data
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Dec06 |
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Dec11 |
Dec12 |
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Dec14 |
Dec15 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-3.82 |
-1.70 |
-3.90 |
0.78 |
1.33 |
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Cosi Quarterly Data
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Sep11 |
Dec11 |
Mar12 |
Jun12 |
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Mar14 |
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Mar15 |
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Sep15 |
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Mar16 |
Jun16 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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5.28 |
0.35 |
1.33 |
-0.61 |
-3.64 |
Competitive Comparison of Cosi's Beneish M-Score
For the Restaurants subindustry, Cosi's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cosi's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cosi's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cosi's Beneish M-Score falls into.
Cosi Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Cosi for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9277 | + | 0.528 * 0.0524 | + | 0.404 * 1.2297 | + | 0.892 * 1.1352 | + | 0.115 * 0.6511 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.8028 | + | 4.679 * -0.095957 | - | 0.327 * 1.201 |
| = | -3.35 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1.703 / 92.033) | / | (1.617 / 81.07) |
| = | 0.018504 | / | 0.019946 |
| | = | 0.9277 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (0.157 / 81.07) | / | (3.405 / 92.033) |
| = | 0.001937 | / | 0.036998 |
| | = | 0.0524 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (6.91 + 9.455) / 31.243) | / | (1 - (18.47 + 11.979) / 49.692) |
| = | 0.476203 | / | 0.387245 |
| | = | 1.2297 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 92.033 | / | 81.07 |
| | = | 1.1352 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (2.58 / (2.58 + 11.979)) | / | (3.536 / (3.536 + 9.455)) |
| = | 0.17721 | / | 0.272188 |
| | = | 0.6511 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (10.956 / 92.033) | / | (12.022 / 81.07) |
| = | 0.119044 | / | 0.148292 |
| | = | 0.8028 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((0 + 16.072) / 31.243) | / | ((10.88 + 10.405) / 49.692) |
| = | 0.514419 | / | 0.428339 |
| | = | 1.201 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (-14.128 - -2.988 | - | -8.142) | / | 31.243 |
| | = | -0.095957 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Cosi has a M-score of -3.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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