GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Chemring Group PLC (OTCPK:CMGMF) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Chemring Group (Chemring Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.88 (As of May. 03, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Chemring Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CMGMF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.09   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.56
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chemring Group was -2.56. The lowest was -4.09. And the median was -2.72.


Chemring Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chemring Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Chemring Group Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 -2.63 -2.73 -2.70 -2.88

Chemring Group Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 - -2.70 - -2.88

Competitive Comparison of Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Chemring Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chemring Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0463+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.8539+0.892 * 1.2661+0.115 * 1.0216
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.101443-0.327 * 1.2113
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Oct23) TTM:Last Year (Oct22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $79.9 Mil.
Revenue was $575.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was $575.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $223.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $726.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $295.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $27.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $173.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $23.9 Mil.
Net Income was $6.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $80.3 Mil.
Total Receivables was $60.3 Mil.
Revenue was $454.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was $454.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $205.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $703.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $262.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $24.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $128.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $28.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(79.903 / 575.639) / (60.317 / 454.649)
=0.138807 / 0.132667
=1.0463

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(454.649 / 454.649) / (575.639 / 575.639)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (223.752 + 295.006) / 726.431) / (1 - (205.442 + 262.245) / 703.061)
=0.285881 / 0.334785
=0.8539

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=575.639 / 454.649
=1.2661

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(24.717 / (24.717 + 262.245)) / (27.162 / (27.162 + 295.006))
=0.086133 / 0.08431
=1.0216

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 575.639) / (0 / 454.649)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23.873 + 173.082) / 726.431) / ((28.458 + 128.912) / 703.061)
=0.271127 / 0.223835
=1.2113

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6.577 - 0 - 80.268) / 726.431
=-0.101443

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chemring Group has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Chemring Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chemring Group's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chemring Group (Chemring Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Old Salisbury Lane, Roke Manor, Romsey, Hampshire, GBR, SO51 0ZN
Chemring Group PLC is a defense technology company. The company's operating segment includes Sensors and Information; it is engaged in the development and manufacturing of electronic countermeasures, chemical and biological threat detection equipment, and explosive hazard detection (EHD) equipment. and Countermeasures and Energetics segment is engaged in the development and manufacturing of expendable countermeasures for air and sea platforms, cartridge/propellant actuated devices, pyrotechnic devices for satellite launch and deployment, missile components, propellants, separation sub-systems, actuators, and energetic materials. It generates maximum revenue from the Countermeasures and Energetics segment. Geographically, the majority of the revenue for the company is generated from UK.

Chemring Group (Chemring Group) Headlines