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Noble (CHIX:NOBLEC) Beneish M-Score : -2.56 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Noble Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Noble's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:NOBLEc' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.56   Med: -2.02   Max: -1.39
Current: -2.56

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Noble was -1.39. The lowest was -2.56. And the median was -2.02.


Noble Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Noble's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Noble Beneish M-Score Chart

Noble Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -2.02

Noble Quarterly Data
Dec20 Sep21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -1.39 -2.02 -2.56

Competitive Comparison of Noble's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Noble's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Noble's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Noble's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Noble's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Noble Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Noble for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7748+0.528 * 0.8886+0.404 * 1.2352+0.892 * 1.4028+0.115 * 0.5324
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9086+4.679 * -0.044072-0.327 * 1.1463
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr4,547 Mil.
Revenue was 4370.269 + 4394.633 + 4873.571 + 4387.949 = kr18,026 Mil.
Gross Profit was 979.847 + 1108.112 + 1742.893 + 1236.131 = kr5,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr6,661 Mil.
Total Assets was kr37,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr28,503 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,686 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr857 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr4,139 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr4,024 Mil.
Net Income was 654.981 + 1023.17 + 1106.314 + 452.281 = kr3,237 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -64.009 + 195.045 + -74.091 + -445.182 = kr-388 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 882.781 + 1964.93 + 969.669 + 1451.07 = kr5,268 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr4,183 Mil.
Revenue was 4241.217 + 4372.401 + 2299.24 + 1937.242 = kr12,850 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1058.938 + 1117.371 + 610.666 + 422.711 = kr3,210 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr6,064 Mil.
Total Assets was kr35,264 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr27,573 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr845 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr672 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr3,219 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr3,515 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4546.545 / 18026.422) / (4183.014 / 12850.1)
=0.252216 / 0.325524
=0.7748

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3209.686 / 12850.1) / (5066.983 / 18026.422)
=0.249779 / 0.281086
=0.8886

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6661.346 + 28503.176) / 37290.909) / (1 - (6063.556 + 27572.731) / 35264.284)
=0.057022 / 0.046166
=1.2352

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18026.422 / 12850.1
=1.4028

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(844.864 / (844.864 + 27572.731)) / (1685.774 / (1685.774 + 28503.176))
=0.02973 / 0.055841
=0.5324

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(856.72 / 18026.422) / (672.107 / 12850.1)
=0.047526 / 0.052304
=0.9086

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4024.11 + 4139.032) / 37290.909) / ((3515.408 + 3218.709) / 35264.284)
=0.218904 / 0.190961
=1.1463

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3236.746 - -388.237 - 5268.45) / 37290.909
=-0.044072

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Noble has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Noble (CHIX:NOBLEC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
13135 Dairy Ashford, Suite 800, Sugar Land, TX, USA, 77478
Noble Corp PLC is an offshore drilling contractor for the oil and gas industry that provides contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry with its fleet of mobile offshore drilling units. The company focuses on a high-specification fleet of floating and jackup rigs and the deployment of its drilling rigs in oil and gas basins around the world.

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