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Cairo Poultry (CAI:POUL) Beneish M-Score : -4.56 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Cairo Poultry Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CAI:POUL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.56   Med: -2.85   Max: -0.78
Current: -4.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cairo Poultry was -0.78. The lowest was -4.56. And the median was -2.85.


Cairo Poultry Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cairo Poultry Beneish M-Score Chart

Cairo Poultry Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -3.50 -2.78 -0.78 -4.56

Cairo Poultry Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.78 -0.21 -0.24 0.67 -4.56

Competitive Comparison of Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cairo Poultry's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cairo Poultry Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cairo Poultry for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0+0.528 * 1.86+0.404 * 0.8308+0.892 * 0.5493+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.2605+4.679 * -0.211731-0.327 * 0.8162
=-4.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was E£0 Mil.
Revenue was -2070.322 + 2969.886 + 2785.862 + 2787.003 = E£6,472 Mil.
Gross Profit was -1355.861 + 854.495 + 439.482 + 888.579 = E£827 Mil.
Total Current Assets was E£3,834 Mil.
Total Assets was E£5,240 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was E£0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was E£0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was E£106 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was E£2,315 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was E£0 Mil.
Net Income was -821.286 + 362.427 + 207.388 + 547.362 = E£296 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = E£0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 625.431 + 457.049 + 267.335 + 55.505 = E£1,405 Mil.
Total Receivables was E£735 Mil.
Revenue was 7064.793 + 1634.161 + 1623.325 + 1460.639 = E£11,783 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2204.389 + 130.126 + 289.016 + 175.737 = E£2,799 Mil.
Total Current Assets was E£2,543 Mil.
Total Assets was E£3,756 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was E£0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was E£0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was E£85 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was E£2,019 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was E£15 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 6472.429) / (735.214 / 11782.918)
=0 / 0.062397
=0

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2799.268 / 11782.918) / (826.695 / 6472.429)
=0.23757 / 0.127726
=1.86

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3833.528 + 0) / 5239.799) / (1 - (2542.847 + 0) / 3756.248)
=0.268383 / 0.323035
=0.8308

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6472.429 / 11782.918
=0.5493

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 0)) / (0 / (0 + 0))
= /
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(105.915 / 6472.429) / (85.299 / 11782.918)
=0.016364 / 0.007239
=2.2605

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2315.267) / 5239.799) / ((14.716 + 2018.824) / 3756.248)
=0.441862 / 0.541375
=0.8162

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(295.891 - 0 - 1405.32) / 5239.799
=-0.211731

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cairo Poultry has a M-score of -4.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cairo Poultry Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cairo Poultry (CAI:POUL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
32(B) Murad st, P.O. Box 42, Giza, EGY
Cairo Poultry is an Egypt-based company that operates in the farming and food processing sectors. It focuses on the production, breeding and fattening chicks; production of animal feed, and hatching of eggs, as well as participating in similar projects inside and outside Egypt. The firm also focuses on other related industries, such as starch and glucose, logistics and feed ingredients trading. Its segment includes Fodder Sector, Fatting Sector, Incubation Sector, Processing Sector, Grands Sector, Security Sector, and Agriculture Sector. The company's Processing Sector earns most of its revenue.

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