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Tupy (BSP:TUPY4) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Tupy Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tupy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:TUPY4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.99   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.98
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tupy was -1.98. The lowest was -2.99. And the median was -2.59.


Tupy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tupy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tupy Beneish M-Score Chart

Tupy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.76 -2.02 -1.98 -2.61

Tupy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -2.14 -2.43 -2.36 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of Tupy's Beneish M-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Tupy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tupy's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Tupy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tupy's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tupy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tupy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8073+0.528 * 1.0895+0.404 * 1.0551+0.892 * 1.1169+0.115 * 1.0243
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9687+4.679 * -0.03121-0.327 * 0.9582
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$1,832 Mil.
Revenue was 2621.978 + 2975.942 + 2965.864 + 2804.406 = R$11,368 Mil.
Gross Profit was 414.454 + 522.539 + 493.43 + 504.7 = R$1,935 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$6,187 Mil.
Total Assets was R$10,285 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$2,793 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$367 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$1,028 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$3,247 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$3,128 Mil.
Net Income was 157.148 + 148.849 + 59.903 + 142.239 = R$508 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 443.315 + 358.57 + 159.142 + -131.902 = R$829 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$2,031 Mil.
Revenue was 2591.09 + 2694.013 + 2529.016 + 2364.297 = R$10,178 Mil.
Gross Profit was 433 + 535.082 + 509.922 + 409.639 = R$1,888 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$6,427 Mil.
Total Assets was R$10,243 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$2,584 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$349 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$950 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$3,390 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$3,236 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1831.735 / 11368.19) / (2031.38 / 10178.416)
=0.161128 / 0.199577
=0.8073

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1887.643 / 10178.416) / (1935.123 / 11368.19)
=0.185455 / 0.170223
=1.0895

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6186.653 + 2792.713) / 10284.745) / (1 - (6426.68 + 2584.302) / 10243.258)
=0.126924 / 0.120301
=1.0551

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11368.19 / 10178.416
=1.1169

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(348.551 / (348.551 + 2584.302)) / (366.54 / (366.54 + 2792.713))
=0.118844 / 0.116021
=1.0243

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1028.15 / 11368.19) / (950.285 / 10178.416)
=0.090441 / 0.093363
=0.9687

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3127.748 + 3246.79) / 10284.745) / ((3235.576 + 3390.345) / 10243.258)
=0.619805 / 0.646857
=0.9582

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(508.139 - 0 - 829.125) / 10284.745
=-0.03121

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tupy has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tupy (BSP:TUPY4) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
R Albano Schmidt 3400, Joinville, SC, BRA, 89227901
Tupy SA develop and produce cast iron structural components of high geometric and metallurgical complexity. It is engaged in two segments namely Cargo transportation, infrastructure, agriculture and power generation which includes Custom manufacturing of cast and machined products, with high technological content and added services, for global manufacturers of engines used in passenger cars, commercial vehicles, construction machinery, tractors, agricultural machinery, power generators, capital goods in general and engine assembly for third parties; and Distribution segments includes Distribution of self-made and third-party spare parts, malleable iron connections for the construction industry and cast iron profiles for diversified use.

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