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Humana (BSP:H1UM34) Beneish M-Score : -2.51 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Humana Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Humana's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:H1UM34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.6
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Humana was -1.60. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.45.


Humana Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Humana for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0614+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0113+0.892 * 1.0699+0.115 * 0.8945
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.031701-0.327 * 1.1774
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$9,971 Mil.
Revenue was R$521,211 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$521,211 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$0 Mil.
Total Assets was R$230,609 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$14,846 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,493 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$50,042 Mil.
Net Income was R$12,196 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R$19,506 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$8,781 Mil.
Revenue was R$487,140 Mil.
Gross Profit was R$487,140 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$0 Mil.
Total Assets was R$225,841 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$16,895 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,432 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$41,622 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9971.093 / 521211.325) / (8780.8 / 487140.298)
=0.019131 / 0.018025
=1.0614

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(487140.298 / 487140.298) / (521211.325 / 521211.325)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 14846.394) / 230609.087) / (1 - (0 + 16895.433) / 225840.697)
=0.935621 / 0.925189
=1.0113

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=521211.325 / 487140.298
=1.0699

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4432.363 / (4432.363 + 16895.433)) / (4493.117 / (4493.117 + 14846.394))
=0.207821 / 0.232328
=0.8945

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 521211.325) / (0 / 487140.298)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((50041.657 + 0) / 230609.087) / ((41622.249 + 0) / 225840.697)
=0.216998 / 0.184299
=1.1774

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12195.602 - 0 - 19506.104) / 230609.087
=-0.031701

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Humana has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Humana (BSP:H1UM34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 West Main Street, Louisville, KY, USA, 40202
Humana is one of the largest private health insurers in the U.S. with a focus on administering Medicare Advantage plans. The firm has built a niche specializing in government-sponsored programs, with nearly all its medical membership stemming from individual and group Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and the military's Tricare program. The firm is also a leader in stand-alone prescription drug plans for seniors enrolled in traditional fee-for-service Medicare. Beyond medical insurance, the company provides other healthcare services, including primary-care services, at-home services, and pharmacy benefit management.